The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Vogt: Teslas may adopt low-cost LiDAR while Cruise drops it
“I think in the future, you know, the cost of LiDAR is coming down to the point where they basically cost the same as a camera, and so I wouldn't be surprised if in the future you see Teslas with very low-cost LiDARs, and you might see cruise vehicles with very…”
Vogt: Autonomous vehicles can become 10x to 100x better than human drivers
“With these systems, they, you know, they're already good. The ones we have today are safe, but there's no reason to me why we can't see them become 10 times better or a hundred times better than human drivers.”
Vogt: Autonomous vehicles will not become a commodity or winner-take-all
“Our view is that you know, the handful of companies that you know, do this first and start these cycles of iteration and learning, Are probably going to end up with the best products. And it's likely that it becomes harder and harder to catch up as these other…”
Vogt: Within 50 years, human driving will be seen as reckless
“The first is, is that I have very little doubt that self-driving cars will be Many, many, many, many times safer than human drivers to the point where it starts to look a little reckless to let humans drive cars in places where there might be pedestrians and c…”