The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Vogt: Teslas may adopt low-cost LiDAR while Cruise drops it
“I think in the future, you know, the cost of LiDAR is coming down to the point where they basically cost the same as a camera, and so I wouldn't be surprised if in the future you see Teslas with very low-cost LiDARs, and you might see cruise vehicles with very…”
Vogt: Tesla autonomous fleet data is high-volume but low-quality
“And so you've got Tesla that maybe has a large amount of low quality data. It's just camera data from a bunch of vehicles. And then you have crews and others that have a lot of Very high resolution, high quality data from these lidars and radars and other sens…”
Vogt: Software and AI are no longer Cruise's biggest bottleneck
“And so the technical problems, the software and AI problems are no longer the biggest bottleneck. Now we're turning our attention back to manufacturing and scaling and building out charging and cleaning and maintenance infrastructure in cities.”
Vogt: Autonomous vehicles can become 10x to 100x better than human drivers
“With these systems, they, you know, they're already good. The ones we have today are safe, but there's no reason to me why we can't see them become 10 times better or a hundred times better than human drivers.”
Vogt: Autonomous vehicles will not become a commodity or winner-take-all
“Our view is that you know, the handful of companies that you know, do this first and start these cycles of iteration and learning, Are probably going to end up with the best products. And it's likely that it becomes harder and harder to catch up as these other…”
Vogt: Within 50 years, human driving will be seen as reckless
“The first is, is that I have very little doubt that self-driving cars will be Many, many, many, many times safer than human drivers to the point where it starts to look a little reckless to let humans drive cars in places where there might be pedestrians and c…”
Vogt: Fleet Utilization Justifies High Upfront Autonomous Vehicle Hardware Costs
“The reason taxis made sense versus cars that you can go out and buy at a dealership is, you know, with the taxis, it'd be a fleet of vehicles that we would own and maintain. We could limit, you know, where they operated and they operate, they could operate, yo…”
Vogt: Autonomous Driving Operates on the Edge of Modern Compute
“When you're driving at speed, this system literally has About the blink of an eye, a couple hundred milliseconds to process all that sensor data, this complex AI problem, make sense of it all, and then send a signal to the vehicle. And so that real time piece …”
Vogt: Cruise Origin is designed to last one million miles
“The vehicle we're building called the Origin is designed to last one million miles, which is four or five times as long As the average car will.”
Vogt: Cruise has driven 400,000 driverless miles without serious safety incidents
“Cruises driven 400,000 driverless miles and only there's been a few handfuls of these types of things pop up and, you know, nothing, nothing serious as when it comes to safety”
Harvard and Yale Students Recruited Coders From MIT Jobs List
“There was a, there's an infamous mailing list, email mailing list at MIT called the jobs list that was run by a faculty member in the computer science department. And it ended up being a place where Harvard and Yale business school students would basically sen…”
Vogt: Justin.tv streaming backpack used three modems to dynamically allocate bandwidth
“I mean, it ended up being a backpack that had all this equipment, you know, a video encoder that would encode a video stream. And digitize it. And then some software that ran, ran on a small Linux computer that would take that video stream and dynamically allo…”
Vogt: Cruise built SF-to-Palo Alto highway autopilot in three months
“We went from, you know, nothing to a working prototype that could drive from San Francisco to Palo Alto, you know, the highway stretch of that in about three months, you know, just with a scrappy team working in a garage.”
Cruise completed its first fully driverless SF test in late 2020
“Our first time doing that was about two years ago. So I guess I'd, that'd be I think around the end of twenty-twenty... We did our first driverless drive around, you know, a quiet part of San Francisco at night with no one behind the wheel.”