why aren't all 26 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Patrick Collison: Tech hubris fails; financial infrastructure requires traditional banking partnerships
“Technology companies, I think, often have a sort of go it alone mentality. We'll build it all in-house. We'll do it all ourselves. We can do things better than ever in the outside world. Whereas we thought that Stripe would only be possible, and it would only …”
Opinion
Collison: PayPal was designed for consumers, not scalable business integration
“So the basic issue with PayPal was that it's designed for consumers, not for businesses. And so if you're building an app, if you're building, you know, a website, if you're building a new marketplace, something like this, PayPal works okay for sending, you kn…”
Insight
High-growth companies like Stripe and SpaceX no longer need IPOs
“Companies like Stripe, SpaceX they've gone to a hundred billion plus valuations as private companies, so you don't need to go public anymore.”
Insight
John Collison: Payments has shifted from tactical vendor decision to product strategy
“For internet businesses, payments is actually part of the strategy that matters. It's part of the product experience. And so basically, I think this used to be a fairly tactical vendor decision for the business, where it was just something that needs to be tak…”
Assertion Supported
Best: First publisher Bill Bishop made six figures on day one
“Bill's launch happened. And we had no, I had no idea what to expect, but he made like six figures his first day through this like duct taped, like stripe setup that I had built in the preceding weeks.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2020
Peter Thiel invested $200,000 in Stripe on the spot
“But Peter being such a, sort of, you know, an inveterate contrarian was quite sympathetic to this case, and decided on the spot to make, you know, a fairly material investment of 200,000 dollars.”
Insight
Patrick Collison: Scaling a startup never gets easier, challenges just change form
“And it kind of feels like that in the startup, where every day now, the problems and challenges are, and, you know, visceral pain is just as acute as when we were starting out. The problem is just of a different form.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Collison: Post-2008 tech pessimism drove the investor bear case on Stripe
“You know, we were sort of starting Stripe in the wake of the financial crisis, and it's kind of hard to, ah, remember this, or kind of, ah, internalize it now, but people were actually fairly pessimistic about technology in some ways back then, and that was in…”
Insight
Collison: Payments shifted from tactical decisions to strategic product advantages
“For internet businesses, payments is actually part of the strategy that matters. It's part of the product experience. And so basically, I think this used to be a fairly tactical vendor decision for the business, where it was just something that needs to be tak…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Collison: Around 2009, banks acted as gatekeepers for online businesses
“Again, oftentimes they would tell you it was the single hardest thing about getting their business off the ground, because the providers that exist at the time, it was often through banks, they were the gatekeepers. They were the people that said, yes, you can…”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Collison: Peter Thiel invested $200,000 in Stripe on the spot
“Peter being such a, sort of, you know, an inveterate contrarian was quite sympathetic to this case, and decided on the spot to make, you know, a fairly material investment of 200,000 dollars.”
Insight
Collison: Tech companies cannot mechanically convert capital into great products
“This is one of the great facts about our industry is that you cannot turn Money into great products as a kind of mechanical operation.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Patreon launched securely storing credit cards but without actual payment processing logic
“We couldn't, for example we couldn't process all the payments at that time yet. I hadn't hooked any of that up. We could accept your credit card. And so that would get saved, you know, very securely by the way, because we were working at Stripe, but we hadn't …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Patrick Collison: Early investors rejected Stripe's business model, not its team
“Most investors said no, but the reason was much more, or reasons were much more because they just thought it was a bad idea rather than the kind of bad people to execute it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Patrick Collison: Developers consistently integrated Stripe in an afternoon and launched next day
“We had lots of stories of people integrating payments in an afternoon or an evening, and then launching their business the next day. And that just worked consistently. That was a big break from what had prevailed before.”
Insight
Patrick Collison's serious projects have always been tools creating leverage
“I mean, from a very early stage, I was interested in sort of working on tools or just kind of building things that created leverage for others, and that basically the whole point of working on this programming language was to provide a tool that would make it …”
Assertion Supported
Collison: Stripe Co-Developed Payout Tech to Help Lyft Pay Drivers
“So in Lyft's case, for example, they wanted to not just charge their customers, but they wanted to pay their drivers and there was no product that enabled a really good driver payment experience, and so we've kind of co-evolved with them to enable the best End…”
Disclosure
Collisons: Stripe chose percentage pricing to align revenue directly with customer growth
“Yeah, we really wanted kind of clarity in the alignment of interests where we would only make more money when the businesses we served made more money.”
Assertion Supported
Guy Raz: John Collison was world's youngest self-made billionaire in 2017
“In 2017, John Collison was the youngest self-made billionaire on earth.”
Disclosure
Collison: Early investors rejected Stripe due to the idea, not founders
“The, you know, the thing that has, I mean, this is not to suggest that investors, you know, rushed with enthusiasm to invest in Stripe. Most investors said no, but the reason was much more, or reasons were much more because they just thought it was a bad idea,…”
Assertion Supported
Raz: Stripe is valued at more than $9B seven years after founding
“And today, barely seven years after its founding, Stripe is valued at more than nine billion dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Collisons: Stripe co-developed driver payouts because no product supported Lyft's needs
“So in Lyft's case, for example, they wanted to not just charge their customers, but they wanted to pay their drivers and there was no product that enabled a really good driver payment experience, and so we've kind of co-evolved with them to enable the best
End…”
Assertion Supported
Collison: Stripe partnered with banks and financial institutions pre-launch
“From the very beginning, even before we launched, we partnered closely with banks, and now we work with banks in, you know, many different countries. And not just banks, but sort of other financial institutions besides.”
Assertion Partly supported
Collison: Stripe took almost two years from full-time work to launch
“Like, from when we started working on it full-time to when we publicly launched was almost two years.”
Assertion Supported
Raz: Patrick and John Collison were 23 and 21 when Stripe launched
“When Stripe launched seven years ago, Patrick and John Collison were just 23 and 21 years old.”
Assertion Supported
Raz: Stripe grew from zero to $100M valuation in months
“This was a company that went from zero to a hundred million dollars in value in a matter of months.”