why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Vogt: Within 50 years, human driving will be seen as reckless
“The first is, is that I have very little doubt that self-driving cars will be Many, many, many, many times safer than human drivers to the point where it starts to look a little reckless to let humans drive cars in places where there might be pedestrians and c…”
Assertion Supported
Vogt: Cruise has driven 400,000 driverless miles without serious safety incidents
“Cruises driven 400,000 driverless miles and only there's been a few handfuls of these types of things pop up and, you know, nothing, nothing serious as when it comes to safety”
Assertion Supported
Vogt: Cruise Origin is designed to last one million miles
“The vehicle we're building called the Origin is designed to last one million miles, which is four or five times as long As the average car will.”
Assertion Supported
Ferguson: Nuro vehicles use thermal cameras alongside LiDAR, radar, and cameras
“They use a bevy of sensors, you know, somewhat similar to cruise and Waymo where we have cameras, we have LIDARs, we have radars, we have thermal cameras as well to help detect people and other living beings at night in particular.”
Assertion Supported
Vogt: Cruise built SF-to-Palo Alto highway autopilot in three months
“We went from, you know, nothing to a working prototype that could drive from San Francisco to Palo Alto, you know, the highway stretch of that in about three months, you know, just with a scrappy team working in a garage.”
Assertion Supported
Cruise completed its first fully driverless SF test in late 2020
“Our first time doing that was about two years ago. So I guess I'd, that'd be I think around the end of twenty-twenty... We did our first driverless drive around, you know, a quiet part of San Francisco at night with no one behind the wheel.”
Assertion Supported
Vogt: Cruise operates about 100 driverless cars in San Francisco
“It's on the order of a hundred cars, and in the evening, they all start off in parking lots, powered off.”