The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Insight
Luis von Ahn: Do not bet early on unproven new tech platforms
“What we've learned Is not to bet on these very new products, because you really never know if they're going to work. So it's not that Apple Watch didn't work. Apple Watch ended up working, but what didn't work was apps on Apple Watch. There's just. That's ju…”
Luis von Ahn May 1, 2025 ▶ 26:00 Advice Line with Luis von Ahn of Duolingo
Opinion
James Park says the original Apple Watch did not impact Fitbit
“If you looked at the Apple Watch that was announced at that time, I think everyone will admit, maybe even Apple, that it was a product that didn't quite know what it was supposed to be used for. So, with the launch of the first Apple Watch, I don't really thin…”
James Park Apr 27, 2020 ▶ 49:54 Fitbit: James Park
Assertion Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Brain data detects Parkinson's 10 years earlier than Apple Watches
“For example, you can actually pick up Parkinson's responses using the Apple Watch. The issue is that by the time you pick it up at the hands or through walking metrics, your brain's already been dealing with it for the past 10 years. And so with the brain, you…”
Ramses Alcaide Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 11:58 When your headphones listen to you with Ramses Alcaide of Neurable
Assertion Supported
Fitbit's tracker revenue plummeted by $800 million shortly after its peak
“In a period, in a very short period of time, our tracker business fell by eight hundred million dollars in, in revenue. And, you know, at the time, at our peak, we were doing about 2.1 billion. In revenue. So, we had an eight hundred million dollar hold.”
James Park Apr 27, 2020 ▶ 54:45 Fitbit: James Park
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