Jun 20, 2022 · 57m · how-i-built-this

Affirm: Max Levchin (Part 2 of 2)

Max Levchin · 33m spoken Guy Raz · 18m spoken
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In this retrospective interview, PayPal co-founder Max Levchin discusses navigating post-acquisition existential slumps, founding Slide, and creating Affirm to disrupt the traditional credit industry with transparent, data-driven installment financing.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Guy holds 35.4% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Guy as informed peer 3.5 Guest teaching 3.2 Guest disagreement 0.6 Guy pushing back 1.3
05100:0015:0030:0045:004:13–9:04 · Guy as informed peer 3/10 The Brief DJ Phase in San Francisco Guy Raz asks open-ended questions about Max Levchin's post-PayPal slump and angel investment in Yelp. Levchin humorously recounts his failed DJ phase and funding Yelp on a whim.9:12–14:31 · Guy as informed peer 4/10 Conceiving Slide and Exploiting Online Vanity Levchin explains the founding thesis behind Slide based on online vanity. Raz connects this to modern Instagram behavior, validating Levchin's foresight.14:32–17:12 · Guy as informed peer 3/10 The Rise of Slide and Personal Disconnect Raz cites Slide's user metrics and asks whether Levchin enjoyed running an entertainment company. Levchin candidly admits feeling like a fraud who wore a happy-face mask.17:12–22:00 · Guy as informed peer 3/10 Lessons on Workplace Culture: Collegiality vs. Respect Levchin details workplace culture lessons, contrasting PayPal's combative rigor with Slide's overly polite environment where collegiality masked a lack of professional respect.22:01–26:12 · Guy as informed peer 3/10 Defining 'Hard, Valuable, and Fun' Post-Google Levchin describes formulating his 'Hard, Valuable, and Fun' framework after leaving Google, citing Peter Thiel's critique that hard problems are not always valuable.26:26–29:31 · Guy as informed peer 2/10 The Dealership Embarrassment and Affirm's Genesis Levchin recounts being denied financing for a car due to ruined college credit despite being a wealthy founder, sparking the realization that credit scoring was fundamentally broken.29:31–32:49 · Guy as informed peer 4/10 Reimagining Consumer Lending and Credit Cards Levchin reframes revolving credit cards as polite versions of payday lending, explaining how Affirm was designed to eliminate compounded interest and late fees.32:49–37:20 · Guy as informed peer 5/10 Algorithmic Underwriting and Fair Repayment Rules Raz presses on risk management and asks what disincentivizes late payments without penalty fees. Levchin explains cash-flow underwriting and account locking for delinquent users.37:21–39:39 · Guy as informed peer 4/10 The Merchant Value Proposition and Zero-Interest Loans Raz asks why merchants agree to pay financing fees on behalf of customers. Levchin clarifies that Affirm drives incremental conversion from debt-averse consumers.39:56–41:56 · Guy as informed peer 2/10 Securing Early Retail Partners: 1-800-Flowers to Peloton Levchin describes securing 1-800-Flowers as their first major customer by comparing BNPL to modern layaway, leading into partnerships with Peloton and Casper.41:58–45:50 · Guy as informed peer 4/10 Managing Negative Cash Flow and Scaling Capital Raz explores the cash flow mechanics of lending. Levchin shares the anxiety of committing $100k of personal capital on launch day followed by initial crickets.45:51–50:46 · Guy as informed peer 5/10 Serving Underserved Demographics and Younger Generations Raz raises tough questions about Affirm serving credit-marginalized demographics, ongoing lack of profitability, and the 80% stock drop. Levchin defends unit economics and quotes Benjamin Graham.50:47–53:55 · Guy as informed peer 3/10 Incubating New S-Curves with Affirm's ZTS Team Raz challenges Levchin on whether his notorious restlessness will pull him away after 10 years at Affirm. Levchin explains how his internal ZTS team lets him incubate new S-curves.53:55–56:29 · Guy as informed peer 4/10 The Interplay of Luck, Risk, and Relentless Work Raz asks his standard luck versus hard work question. Levchin offers a nuanced reflection on luck as the necessary kickstart that demands relentless grinding to capitalize on.4:13–9:04 · Guest teaching 2/10 The Brief DJ Phase in San Francisco Guy Raz asks open-ended questions about Max Levchin's post-PayPal slump and angel investment in Yelp. Levchin humorously recounts his failed DJ phase and funding Yelp on a whim.9:12–14:31 · Guest teaching 3/10 Conceiving Slide and Exploiting Online Vanity Levchin explains the founding thesis behind Slide based on online vanity. Raz connects this to modern Instagram behavior, validating Levchin's foresight.14:32–17:12 · Guest teaching 2/10 The Rise of Slide and Personal Disconnect Raz cites Slide's user metrics and asks whether Levchin enjoyed running an entertainment company. Levchin candidly admits feeling like a fraud who wore a happy-face mask.17:12–22:00 · Guest teaching 4/10 Lessons on Workplace Culture: Collegiality vs. Respect Levchin details workplace culture lessons, contrasting PayPal's combative rigor with Slide's overly polite environment where collegiality masked a lack of professional respect.22:01–26:12 · Guest teaching 4/10 Defining 'Hard, Valuable, and Fun' Post-Google Levchin describes formulating his 'Hard, Valuable, and Fun' framework after leaving Google, citing Peter Thiel's critique that hard problems are not always valuable.26:26–29:31 · Guest teaching 3/10 The Dealership Embarrassment and Affirm's Genesis Levchin recounts being denied financing for a car due to ruined college credit despite being a wealthy founder, sparking the realization that credit scoring was fundamentally broken.29:31–32:49 · Guest teaching 5/10 Reimagining Consumer Lending and Credit Cards Levchin reframes revolving credit cards as polite versions of payday lending, explaining how Affirm was designed to eliminate compounded interest and late fees.32:49–37:20 · Guest teaching 4/10 Algorithmic Underwriting and Fair Repayment Rules Raz presses on risk management and asks what disincentivizes late payments without penalty fees. Levchin explains cash-flow underwriting and account locking for delinquent users.37:21–39:39 · Guest teaching 3/10 The Merchant Value Proposition and Zero-Interest Loans Raz asks why merchants agree to pay financing fees on behalf of customers. Levchin clarifies that Affirm drives incremental conversion from debt-averse consumers.39:56–41:56 · Guest teaching 3/10 Securing Early Retail Partners: 1-800-Flowers to Peloton Levchin describes securing 1-800-Flowers as their first major customer by comparing BNPL to modern layaway, leading into partnerships with Peloton and Casper.41:58–45:50 · Guest teaching 3/10 Managing Negative Cash Flow and Scaling Capital Raz explores the cash flow mechanics of lending. Levchin shares the anxiety of committing $100k of personal capital on launch day followed by initial crickets.45:51–50:46 · Guest teaching 3/10 Serving Underserved Demographics and Younger Generations Raz raises tough questions about Affirm serving credit-marginalized demographics, ongoing lack of profitability, and the 80% stock drop. Levchin defends unit economics and quotes Benjamin Graham.50:47–53:55 · Guest teaching 3/10 Incubating New S-Curves with Affirm's ZTS Team Raz challenges Levchin on whether his notorious restlessness will pull him away after 10 years at Affirm. Levchin explains how his internal ZTS team lets him incubate new S-curves.53:55–56:29 · Guest teaching 3/10 The Interplay of Luck, Risk, and Relentless Work Raz asks his standard luck versus hard work question. Levchin offers a nuanced reflection on luck as the necessary kickstart that demands relentless grinding to capitalize on.4:13–9:04 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The Brief DJ Phase in San Francisco Guy Raz asks open-ended questions about Max Levchin's post-PayPal slump and angel investment in Yelp. Levchin humorously recounts his failed DJ phase and funding Yelp on a whim.9:12–14:31 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Conceiving Slide and Exploiting Online Vanity Levchin explains the founding thesis behind Slide based on online vanity. Raz connects this to modern Instagram behavior, validating Levchin's foresight.14:32–17:12 · Guest disagreement 0/10 The Rise of Slide and Personal Disconnect Raz cites Slide's user metrics and asks whether Levchin enjoyed running an entertainment company. Levchin candidly admits feeling like a fraud who wore a happy-face mask.17:12–22:00 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Lessons on Workplace Culture: Collegiality vs. Respect Levchin details workplace culture lessons, contrasting PayPal's combative rigor with Slide's overly polite environment where collegiality masked a lack of professional respect.22:01–26:12 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Defining 'Hard, Valuable, and Fun' Post-Google Levchin describes formulating his 'Hard, Valuable, and Fun' framework after leaving Google, citing Peter Thiel's critique that hard problems are not always valuable.26:26–29:31 · Guest disagreement 0/10 The Dealership Embarrassment and Affirm's Genesis Levchin recounts being denied financing for a car due to ruined college credit despite being a wealthy founder, sparking the realization that credit scoring was fundamentally broken.29:31–32:49 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Reimagining Consumer Lending and Credit Cards Levchin reframes revolving credit cards as polite versions of payday lending, explaining how Affirm was designed to eliminate compounded interest and late fees.32:49–37:20 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Algorithmic Underwriting and Fair Repayment Rules Raz presses on risk management and asks what disincentivizes late payments without penalty fees. Levchin explains cash-flow underwriting and account locking for delinquent users.37:21–39:39 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The Merchant Value Proposition and Zero-Interest Loans Raz asks why merchants agree to pay financing fees on behalf of customers. Levchin clarifies that Affirm drives incremental conversion from debt-averse consumers.39:56–41:56 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Securing Early Retail Partners: 1-800-Flowers to Peloton Levchin describes securing 1-800-Flowers as their first major customer by comparing BNPL to modern layaway, leading into partnerships with Peloton and Casper.41:58–45:50 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Managing Negative Cash Flow and Scaling Capital Raz explores the cash flow mechanics of lending. Levchin shares the anxiety of committing $100k of personal capital on launch day followed by initial crickets.45:51–50:46 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Serving Underserved Demographics and Younger Generations Raz raises tough questions about Affirm serving credit-marginalized demographics, ongoing lack of profitability, and the 80% stock drop. Levchin defends unit economics and quotes Benjamin Graham.50:47–53:55 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Incubating New S-Curves with Affirm's ZTS Team Raz challenges Levchin on whether his notorious restlessness will pull him away after 10 years at Affirm. Levchin explains how his internal ZTS team lets him incubate new S-curves.53:55–56:29 · Guest disagreement 0/10 The Interplay of Luck, Risk, and Relentless Work Raz asks his standard luck versus hard work question. Levchin offers a nuanced reflection on luck as the necessary kickstart that demands relentless grinding to capitalize on.4:13–9:04 · Guy pushing back 1/10 The Brief DJ Phase in San Francisco Guy Raz asks open-ended questions about Max Levchin's post-PayPal slump and angel investment in Yelp. Levchin humorously recounts his failed DJ phase and funding Yelp on a whim.9:12–14:31 · Guy pushing back 1/10 Conceiving Slide and Exploiting Online Vanity Levchin explains the founding thesis behind Slide based on online vanity. Raz connects this to modern Instagram behavior, validating Levchin's foresight.14:32–17:12 · Guy pushing back 1/10 The Rise of Slide and Personal Disconnect Raz cites Slide's user metrics and asks whether Levchin enjoyed running an entertainment company. Levchin candidly admits feeling like a fraud who wore a happy-face mask.17:12–22:00 · Guy pushing back 1/10 Lessons on Workplace Culture: Collegiality vs. Respect Levchin details workplace culture lessons, contrasting PayPal's combative rigor with Slide's overly polite environment where collegiality masked a lack of professional respect.22:01–26:12 · Guy pushing back 1/10 Defining 'Hard, Valuable, and Fun' Post-Google Levchin describes formulating his 'Hard, Valuable, and Fun' framework after leaving Google, citing Peter Thiel's critique that hard problems are not always valuable.26:26–29:31 · Guy pushing back 0/10 The Dealership Embarrassment and Affirm's Genesis Levchin recounts being denied financing for a car due to ruined college credit despite being a wealthy founder, sparking the realization that credit scoring was fundamentally broken.29:31–32:49 · Guy pushing back 2/10 Reimagining Consumer Lending and Credit Cards Levchin reframes revolving credit cards as polite versions of payday lending, explaining how Affirm was designed to eliminate compounded interest and late fees.32:49–37:20 · Guy pushing back 3/10 Algorithmic Underwriting and Fair Repayment Rules Raz presses on risk management and asks what disincentivizes late payments without penalty fees. Levchin explains cash-flow underwriting and account locking for delinquent users.37:21–39:39 · Guy pushing back 2/10 The Merchant Value Proposition and Zero-Interest Loans Raz asks why merchants agree to pay financing fees on behalf of customers. Levchin clarifies that Affirm drives incremental conversion from debt-averse consumers.39:56–41:56 · Guy pushing back 0/10 Securing Early Retail Partners: 1-800-Flowers to Peloton Levchin describes securing 1-800-Flowers as their first major customer by comparing BNPL to modern layaway, leading into partnerships with Peloton and Casper.41:58–45:50 · Guy pushing back 1/10 Managing Negative Cash Flow and Scaling Capital Raz explores the cash flow mechanics of lending. Levchin shares the anxiety of committing $100k of personal capital on launch day followed by initial crickets.45:51–50:46 · Guy pushing back 3/10 Serving Underserved Demographics and Younger Generations Raz raises tough questions about Affirm serving credit-marginalized demographics, ongoing lack of profitability, and the 80% stock drop. Levchin defends unit economics and quotes Benjamin Graham.50:47–53:55 · Guy pushing back 2/10 Incubating New S-Curves with Affirm's ZTS Team Raz challenges Levchin on whether his notorious restlessness will pull him away after 10 years at Affirm. Levchin explains how his internal ZTS team lets him incubate new S-curves.53:55–56:29 · Guy pushing back 0/10 The Interplay of Luck, Risk, and Relentless Work Raz asks his standard luck versus hard work question. Levchin offers a nuanced reflection on luck as the necessary kickstart that demands relentless grinding to capitalize on.

speaking balance: gold is Guy, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Guy 75.8% · guest 24.2%0:00 · Guy 75.8% · guest 24.2%3:00 · Guy 63.6% · guest 36.4%3:00 · Guy 63.6% · guest 36.4%6:00 · Guy 16.8% · guest 83.2%6:00 · Guy 16.8% · guest 83.2%9:00 · Guy 21% · guest 79%9:00 · Guy 21% · guest 79%12:00 · Guy 58.8% · guest 41.2%12:00 · Guy 58.8% · guest 41.2%15:00 · Guy 27% · guest 73%15:00 · Guy 27% · guest 73%18:00 · Guy 23.5% · guest 76.5%18:00 · Guy 23.5% · guest 76.5%21:00 · Guy 30.1% · guest 69.9%21:00 · Guy 30.1% · guest 69.9%24:00 · Guy 29.7% · guest 70.3%24:00 · Guy 29.7% · guest 70.3%27:00 · Guy 14.5% · guest 85.5%27:00 · Guy 14.5% · guest 85.5%30:00 · Guy 26.2% · guest 73.8%30:00 · Guy 26.2% · guest 73.8%33:00 · Guy 47.5% · guest 52.5%33:00 · Guy 47.5% · guest 52.5%36:00 · Guy 25.7% · guest 74.3%36:00 · Guy 25.7% · guest 74.3%39:00 · Guy 33.4% · guest 66.6%39:00 · Guy 33.4% · guest 66.6%42:00 · Guy 22.7% · guest 77.3%42:00 · Guy 22.7% · guest 77.3%45:00 · Guy 55.2% · guest 44.8%45:00 · Guy 55.2% · guest 44.8%48:00 · Guy 21.9% · guest 78.1%48:00 · Guy 21.9% · guest 78.1%51:00 · Guy 12.7% · guest 87.3%51:00 · Guy 12.7% · guest 87.3%54:00 · Guy 50% · guest 50%54:00 · Guy 50% · guest 50%57:00 · Guy 100% · guest 0%57:00 · Guy 100% · guest 0%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 31:00 Lashing out at standard credit cards

Levchin boldly rejects standard credit industry practices, equating credit cards directly to predatory payday loans minus one zero.

Hardest push from Guy ▶ 48:30 Pressing on profitability and steep stock decline

Raz directly confronts Levchin with Affirm's lack of profitability and the steep decline in stock price from $176 to the low thirties.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 17:50 Deconstructing collegiality versus professional respect

Levchin educates listeners on corporate culture pitfalls, showing why polite friendliness breaks down during crises without fierce mutual competence.

Guy holds their own ▶ 36:10 Probing loan default disincentives

Raz drills into Affirm's business model, questioning how risk is mitigated if consumers face no punitive late fees for missing payments.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicGuy as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementGuy pushing backWhy
The Brief DJ Phase in San Francisco 3211 Guy Raz asks open-ended questions about Max Levchin's post-PayPal slump and angel investment in Yelp. Levchin humorously recounts his failed DJ phase and funding Yelp on a whim.
Conceiving Slide and Exploiting Online Vanity 4311 Levchin explains the founding thesis behind Slide based on online vanity. Raz connects this to modern Instagram behavior, validating Levchin's foresight.
The Rise of Slide and Personal Disconnect 3201 Raz cites Slide's user metrics and asks whether Levchin enjoyed running an entertainment company. Levchin candidly admits feeling like a fraud who wore a happy-face mask.
Lessons on Workplace Culture: Collegiality vs. Respect 3411 Levchin details workplace culture lessons, contrasting PayPal's combative rigor with Slide's overly polite environment where collegiality masked a lack of professional respect.
Defining 'Hard, Valuable, and Fun' Post-Google 3401 Levchin describes formulating his 'Hard, Valuable, and Fun' framework after leaving Google, citing Peter Thiel's critique that hard problems are not always valuable.
The Dealership Embarrassment and Affirm's Genesis 2300 Levchin recounts being denied financing for a car due to ruined college credit despite being a wealthy founder, sparking the realization that credit scoring was fundamentally broken.
Reimagining Consumer Lending and Credit Cards 4522 Levchin reframes revolving credit cards as polite versions of payday lending, explaining how Affirm was designed to eliminate compounded interest and late fees.
Algorithmic Underwriting and Fair Repayment Rules 5413 Raz presses on risk management and asks what disincentivizes late payments without penalty fees. Levchin explains cash-flow underwriting and account locking for delinquent users.
The Merchant Value Proposition and Zero-Interest Loans 4312 Raz asks why merchants agree to pay financing fees on behalf of customers. Levchin clarifies that Affirm drives incremental conversion from debt-averse consumers.
Securing Early Retail Partners: 1-800-Flowers to Peloton 2300 Levchin describes securing 1-800-Flowers as their first major customer by comparing BNPL to modern layaway, leading into partnerships with Peloton and Casper.
Managing Negative Cash Flow and Scaling Capital 4301 Raz explores the cash flow mechanics of lending. Levchin shares the anxiety of committing $100k of personal capital on launch day followed by initial crickets.
Serving Underserved Demographics and Younger Generations 5313 Raz raises tough questions about Affirm serving credit-marginalized demographics, ongoing lack of profitability, and the 80% stock drop. Levchin defends unit economics and quotes Benjamin Graham.
Incubating New S-Curves with Affirm's ZTS Team 3312 Raz challenges Levchin on whether his notorious restlessness will pull him away after 10 years at Affirm. Levchin explains how his internal ZTS team lets him incubate new S-curves.
The Interplay of Luck, Risk, and Relentless Work 4300 Raz asks his standard luck versus hard work question. Levchin offers a nuanced reflection on luck as the necessary kickstart that demands relentless grinding to capitalize on.

Statements from this episode (16)

Disclosure
Levchin offered $1M on a whim to fund Yelp at inception
“And entirely on a whim, I basically said, I will buy as much of this company as you'll sell me for a million dollars.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 8:45
Assertion Supported
Levchin held 11% of Yelp at IPO and significantly more initially
“By the time of the IPO, yes, but in the moment it was much more since there was really nothing.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 9:01
Opinion
Levchin: PointCast did nothing wrong in product strategy, just launched early
“Eventually I decided they did nothing wrong. They were just too early.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 10:29
Insight
Levchin: Social web behavior is driven by the seven deadly sins
“If the world of the internet becomes suddenly very social, there are all these humans that are emotional. What will they do? What will they need? They're all going to just follow the seven deadly sins because that's what humans do. We're all wired to transgres…”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 11:00
Assertion Supported
Levchin: Slide was the seventh largest web property at its peak
“That's right. I remember noticing that we were something like the seventh largest property on the web.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 16:05
Disclosure
Levchin felt like a fraud building entertainment products at Slide
“And throughout the whole thing, I felt like a fraud. Like I never played video games growing up. I was not really into photography. I was not a photo sharer. And so this idea of building entertainment products was this sort of mask I took on.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 16:51
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Levchin: PayPal had an intensely combative, truth-seeking culture
“PayPal was this unbelievably combative Kind of a truth-seeking, by any means necessary, almost, culture.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 17:27
Insight
Levchin: Startups need professional respect over collegiality during market downturns
“I over-indexed on this idea of, hey, we really have to have just a lot more collegiality, and that works really well if you are doing great as a company. But inevitably, every company goes through ups and downs, and sometimes downs take a long time, and, you k…”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 17:53
Insight
Levchin: Entrepreneurs realize their true nature when following others' rules
“For an entrepreneur, you get reminded you're an entrepreneur when you're not trying to run a company the most. You start realizing that sort of rules are written and you kind of have to follow them because you're in, in someone else's backyard.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 20:21
Opinion
Levchin: Sundar Pichai was singularly the kindest person at Google
“Sundar, who is now of course the CEO of the whole thing was singularly the kindest person I met at Google.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 20:58
Insight
Levchin: Valuable things are hard, but hard things aren't always valuable
“Hard is not always valuable. Valuable is typically hard, but the inference doesn't work the other direction all the time.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 24:58
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Levchin: PayPal never used its purchasing data for credit scoring
“At PayPal, we had access to all this amazing purchasing data. We never once tried to use it for credit scoring.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 28:46
Insight
Levchin: Traditional credit companies treat solvent late payers as revenue opportunities
“If you are, what's in the industry is evocatively called a sloppy payer, which is someone who generally pays their bills, but are almost never on time. The normal financial industry behaviors say, great, you're a fantastic revenue opportunity. You have the mon…”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 36:26
Disclosure
Levchin fronted $100,000 of his own money to launch Affirm
“The day we launched, I sort of said, well, we have no way of financing these loans, and it's going to be a negative cash flow business. And so I will put up a 100,000 dollars of my own money to front these payments.”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 43:18
Insight
Levchin: Capitalizing on luck requires relentless grinding and compromising work-life balance
“And what do you do after, once you see one of those, have one of those, it does come down to work ethic and just willingness to grind and, you know, sleep less and Compromise things like work-life balance, which have their own consequences. It's not free, and …”
Max Levchin Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 56:10
Assertion Supported
Levchin created an early CAPTCHA to protect PayPal from hackers
“Max created that test after PayPal was getting hammered by hackers.”
Guy Raz Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 56:53
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