Pierre Noel

Senior Advisor, Tony Blair Institute · 1 appearance on the record.

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Dr. Pierre Noël is an expert in international energy markets, European energy security, Russian natural gas trade, and energy transition dynamics across Europe and emerging Asia. Over two decades, he has advised policymakers and held senior research positions at Columbia SIPA, the International Institute for Strategic Studies, and Cambridge University.

5statements → 3claims → 2claims resolved → 4/5average certainty → 2.2/5average debate potential → 2said about them ↓

2 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted 1 not checkable as stated how the 3 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 predictions · 1 assertion · 1 opinion · 1 what if · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertion are the 3 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 2 are resolved, and 1 names no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Pierre argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Prediction Held up

Noel: Weaning off Russian gas will accelerate European decarbonization

“So, whatever is done to win ourselves off Russian natural gas will be leveraged to accelerate our decarbonization objectives. In that sense, it's positive. Governments in Europe will be empowered, potentially dramatically so, to accelerate the transformation o…”

Pierre Noel Mar 8, 2022 ▶ 20:03 Russia’s war hits energy markets hard

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Pierre Noel on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

What they said5 What others said2 Episodes1

Everything Pierre Noel said on the Green Blueprint that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

What-if

Noel: Europe cannot cope without Russian gas and faces energy rationing

“The answer is that we would cope only partially. Which is another way of saying we would not cope, or we would not cope satisfactorily. And just to be a bit more explicit, in some countries of Europe, and it's difficult to know exactly where, but, ah, the supp…”

Pierre Noel Mar 8, 2022 ▶ 5:23 Russia’s war hits energy markets hard

Prediction Held up

Noel: Weaning off Russian gas will accelerate European decarbonization

Pierre Noel Mar 8, 2022 ▶ 20:03 Russia’s war hits energy markets hard

Opinion

Noel: The Energy Crisis Creates the Worst Market Conditions for Coal Phaseout

“This is going to be aggravated by the crisis. This is just about the worst possible market situation regarding your, you know, your climate change objectives and the few years ahead where we were supposed to dramatically accelerate the phasing out of coal.”

Pierre Noel Mar 8, 2022 ▶ 9:47 Russia’s war hits energy markets hard

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Noel: Russia's Economy Will Decline Long-Term and Desperately Needs Energy Revenues

“I mean, they are, you know, it's going to be a long term confrontation. Their economy will go down the drain. They need energy, say, you know, energy export revenues more than ever.”

Pierre Noel Mar 8, 2022 ▶ 7:06 Russia’s war hits energy markets hard

Assertion Supported

Noel: US Power Sector Shifted Back to Coal Months Before Ukraine War

“The dispatching in the U.S. Power sector went, went back to favor call a number of months ago, perhaps even a year ago. So you can already see in the U.S. Emissions data, The impact that it, that it's had.”

Pierre Noel Mar 8, 2022 ▶ 9:02 Russia’s war hits energy markets hard

The other half of the tape: Pierre Noel's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 2 times in 1 episode on the Green Blueprint. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Stephen Lacey 2

Every mention by year

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2022 2 mentions in 1 episode

Russia’s war hits energy markets hard Mar 8, 2022 · 2 mentions · from 19:43
every mention in 2022, scene by scene →

Appearances (1)

Episode	Date	Speaking time
Russia’s war hits energy markets hard	Mar 8, 2022	4m