why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
What-if
Noel: Europe cannot cope without Russian gas and faces energy rationing
“The answer is that we would cope only partially. Which is another way of saying we would not cope, or we would not cope satisfactorily. And just to be a bit more explicit, in some countries of Europe, and it's difficult to know exactly where, but, ah, the supp…”
Prediction Held up
Noel: Weaning off Russian gas will accelerate European decarbonization
“So, whatever is done to win ourselves off Russian natural gas will be leveraged to accelerate our decarbonization objectives. In that sense, it's positive. Governments in Europe will be empowered, potentially dramatically so, to accelerate the transformation o…”
Opinion
Noel: The Energy Crisis Creates the Worst Market Conditions for Coal Phaseout
“This is going to be aggravated by the crisis. This is just about the worst possible market situation regarding your, you know, your climate change objectives and the few years ahead where we were supposed to dramatically accelerate the phasing out of coal.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Noel: Russia's Economy Will Decline Long-Term and Desperately Needs Energy Revenues
“I mean, they are, you know, it's going to be a long term confrontation. Their economy will go down the drain. They need energy, say, you know, energy export revenues more than ever.”
Assertion Supported
Noel: US Power Sector Shifted Back to Coal Months Before Ukraine War
“The dispatching in the U.S. Power sector went, went back to favor call a number of months ago, perhaps even a year ago. So you can already see in the U.S. Emissions data, The impact that it, that it's had.”