Nov 15, 2023 · 18m · green-blueprint

The future of the ‘broken’ grid [partner content]

Sheldon Kimber · 14m spoken Lara Pierpoint · 1m spoken Stephen Lacey · 1m spoken
0:00 / 0:00

gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

Intersect Power CEO Sheldon Kimber explains why structural and regulatory gridlock prevents traditional expansion of the U.S. power grid, outlining a strategic pivot where heavy industrial loads and AI data centers relocate directly to renewable energy hubs.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. The hosts hold 10% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

The hosts as informed peer 2.7 Guest teaching 3.5 Guest disagreement 2.3 The hosts pushing back 0.2
05100:0010:002:32–7:11 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 The Broken Grid and Institutional Balkanization Lacey brings up the immense backlog in interconnection queues exceeding the total U.S. generation fleet. Kimber reframes the issue as a 'red herring,' explaining that lazy financial valuations incentivize developers to carpet bomb queues with unviable projects.7:12–10:03 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 The Strategic Shift: Load Moving to Generation Lacey prompts Kimber on the strategic implications for off-takers and business models outside the grid. Kimber details his thesis that load must move directly to low-cost generation rather than waiting on grid transmission buildouts.10:04–12:28 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 Commercializing Green Molecules and Diverse Paths Home Lacey asks for concrete project examples of bypassing transmission bottlenecks. Kimber explains Intersect's West Texas green hydrogen strategy, calling out speculative hydrogen developers who lack experience constructing 500-megawatt assets.12:29–15:09 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 Energy Constraints and the Reprioritization of Data Centers Lacey inquires about downstream economic impacts on energy-intensive buyers. Kimber reveals the 'dirty little secret' that corporate green power procurement has historically been about cost savings rather than purely climate heroism, and predicts a rude awakening as power availability becomes the binding constraint.15:10–17:56 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 The 2030 Horizon: Navigating the Messy Middle Lacey asks what the industry will look like by 2030 under this relocated generation paradigm. Kimber cautions against oversimplified binary outcomes, laying out the practical realities of the 'messy middle' and localized regional transmission.17:58–18:32 · The hosts as informed peer 0/10 Episode Conclusion and Intersect Power Company Overview Pierpoint delivers the scripted outro, sponsor summary, and call to action for Intersect Power in a monologue format.2:32–7:11 · Guest teaching 5/10 The Broken Grid and Institutional Balkanization Lacey brings up the immense backlog in interconnection queues exceeding the total U.S. generation fleet. Kimber reframes the issue as a 'red herring,' explaining that lazy financial valuations incentivize developers to carpet bomb queues with unviable projects.7:12–10:03 · Guest teaching 4/10 The Strategic Shift: Load Moving to Generation Lacey prompts Kimber on the strategic implications for off-takers and business models outside the grid. Kimber details his thesis that load must move directly to low-cost generation rather than waiting on grid transmission buildouts.10:04–12:28 · Guest teaching 4/10 Commercializing Green Molecules and Diverse Paths Home Lacey asks for concrete project examples of bypassing transmission bottlenecks. Kimber explains Intersect's West Texas green hydrogen strategy, calling out speculative hydrogen developers who lack experience constructing 500-megawatt assets.12:29–15:09 · Guest teaching 4/10 Energy Constraints and the Reprioritization of Data Centers Lacey inquires about downstream economic impacts on energy-intensive buyers. Kimber reveals the 'dirty little secret' that corporate green power procurement has historically been about cost savings rather than purely climate heroism, and predicts a rude awakening as power availability becomes the binding constraint.15:10–17:56 · Guest teaching 4/10 The 2030 Horizon: Navigating the Messy Middle Lacey asks what the industry will look like by 2030 under this relocated generation paradigm. Kimber cautions against oversimplified binary outcomes, laying out the practical realities of the 'messy middle' and localized regional transmission.17:58–18:32 · Guest teaching 0/10 Episode Conclusion and Intersect Power Company Overview Pierpoint delivers the scripted outro, sponsor summary, and call to action for Intersect Power in a monologue format.2:32–7:11 · Guest disagreement 4/10 The Broken Grid and Institutional Balkanization Lacey brings up the immense backlog in interconnection queues exceeding the total U.S. generation fleet. Kimber reframes the issue as a 'red herring,' explaining that lazy financial valuations incentivize developers to carpet bomb queues with unviable projects.7:12–10:03 · Guest disagreement 2/10 The Strategic Shift: Load Moving to Generation Lacey prompts Kimber on the strategic implications for off-takers and business models outside the grid. Kimber details his thesis that load must move directly to low-cost generation rather than waiting on grid transmission buildouts.10:04–12:28 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Commercializing Green Molecules and Diverse Paths Home Lacey asks for concrete project examples of bypassing transmission bottlenecks. Kimber explains Intersect's West Texas green hydrogen strategy, calling out speculative hydrogen developers who lack experience constructing 500-megawatt assets.12:29–15:09 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Energy Constraints and the Reprioritization of Data Centers Lacey inquires about downstream economic impacts on energy-intensive buyers. Kimber reveals the 'dirty little secret' that corporate green power procurement has historically been about cost savings rather than purely climate heroism, and predicts a rude awakening as power availability becomes the binding constraint.15:10–17:56 · Guest disagreement 2/10 The 2030 Horizon: Navigating the Messy Middle Lacey asks what the industry will look like by 2030 under this relocated generation paradigm. Kimber cautions against oversimplified binary outcomes, laying out the practical realities of the 'messy middle' and localized regional transmission.17:58–18:32 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Episode Conclusion and Intersect Power Company Overview Pierpoint delivers the scripted outro, sponsor summary, and call to action for Intersect Power in a monologue format.2:32–7:11 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 The Broken Grid and Institutional Balkanization Lacey brings up the immense backlog in interconnection queues exceeding the total U.S. generation fleet. Kimber reframes the issue as a 'red herring,' explaining that lazy financial valuations incentivize developers to carpet bomb queues with unviable projects.7:12–10:03 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 The Strategic Shift: Load Moving to Generation Lacey prompts Kimber on the strategic implications for off-takers and business models outside the grid. Kimber details his thesis that load must move directly to low-cost generation rather than waiting on grid transmission buildouts.10:04–12:28 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Commercializing Green Molecules and Diverse Paths Home Lacey asks for concrete project examples of bypassing transmission bottlenecks. Kimber explains Intersect's West Texas green hydrogen strategy, calling out speculative hydrogen developers who lack experience constructing 500-megawatt assets.12:29–15:09 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Energy Constraints and the Reprioritization of Data Centers Lacey inquires about downstream economic impacts on energy-intensive buyers. Kimber reveals the 'dirty little secret' that corporate green power procurement has historically been about cost savings rather than purely climate heroism, and predicts a rude awakening as power availability becomes the binding constraint.15:10–17:56 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 The 2030 Horizon: Navigating the Messy Middle Lacey asks what the industry will look like by 2030 under this relocated generation paradigm. Kimber cautions against oversimplified binary outcomes, laying out the practical realities of the 'messy middle' and localized regional transmission.17:58–18:32 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Episode Conclusion and Intersect Power Company Overview Pierpoint delivers the scripted outro, sponsor summary, and call to action for Intersect Power in a monologue format.

speaking balance: gold is the hosts, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · the hosts 45.5% · guest 54.5%0:00 · the hosts 45.5% · guest 54.5%3:00 · the hosts 0% · guest 100%3:00 · the hosts 0% · guest 100%6:00 · the hosts 0% · guest 100%6:00 · the hosts 0% · guest 100%9:00 · the hosts 0% · guest 100%9:00 · the hosts 0% · guest 100%12:00 · the hosts 0% · guest 100%12:00 · the hosts 0% · guest 100%15:00 · the hosts 0.8% · guest 99.2%15:00 · the hosts 0.8% · guest 99.2%18:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%18:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 4:51 Queue backlog dismissed as a red herring

Kimber forcefully dismisses the conventional framing of transmission queues as a pure infrastructure crisis, arguing it is an artifact of financial incentives rewarding speculative filings.

Hardest push from the hosts ▶ 4:27 Framing the acute developer bottleneck

Lacey presses Kimber on the practical crisis developers face by emphasizing that queue backlogs now exceed the entire operating capacity of the U.S. power fleet.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 5:35 Explaining the mechanics of queue clogging

Kimber educates the listener and host on how private equity and bank valuation methods reward developers per watt of unbuildable speculative land in queues.

The host holds their own ▶ 4:27 Citing fleet-scale interconnection statistics

Lacey demonstrates domain command by framing the interconnection problem using national capacity statistics across renewables and battery storage.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe hosts as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe hosts pushing backWhy
The Broken Grid and Institutional Balkanization 4541 Lacey brings up the immense backlog in interconnection queues exceeding the total U.S. generation fleet. Kimber reframes the issue as a 'red herring,' explaining that lazy financial valuations incentivize developers to carpet bomb queues with unviable projects.
The Strategic Shift: Load Moving to Generation 3420 Lacey prompts Kimber on the strategic implications for off-takers and business models outside the grid. Kimber details his thesis that load must move directly to low-cost generation rather than waiting on grid transmission buildouts.
Commercializing Green Molecules and Diverse Paths Home 3430 Lacey asks for concrete project examples of bypassing transmission bottlenecks. Kimber explains Intersect's West Texas green hydrogen strategy, calling out speculative hydrogen developers who lack experience constructing 500-megawatt assets.
Energy Constraints and the Reprioritization of Data Centers 3430 Lacey inquires about downstream economic impacts on energy-intensive buyers. Kimber reveals the 'dirty little secret' that corporate green power procurement has historically been about cost savings rather than purely climate heroism, and predicts a rude awakening as power availability becomes the binding constraint.
The 2030 Horizon: Navigating the Messy Middle 3420 Lacey asks what the industry will look like by 2030 under this relocated generation paradigm. Kimber cautions against oversimplified binary outcomes, laying out the practical realities of the 'messy middle' and localized regional transmission.
Episode Conclusion and Intersect Power Company Overview 0000 Pierpoint delivers the scripted outro, sponsor summary, and call to action for Intersect Power in a monologue format.

Statements from this episode (11)

Assertion Supported
Kimber: US Grid Must Grow 60% by 2030 and Triple by 2050
“If you look at what we need, the grid needs to grow by about 60% by 2030, right, according to some studies for us to meet our climate goals. It needs to triple in size by 20 50.”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 3:11
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kimber: US Grid Transmission Issues Will Not Get Fixed
“No one has the incentive to actually fix the problem, and that's why it won't get fixed.”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 4:23
Insight
Kimber: Renewable development has low entry barriers but high exit barriers
“There are really, really low barriers to entry in this business and really, really high barriers to actually successful exit.”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 6:07
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kimber: Most projects in transmission queues will never be built
“Most of the stuff that's in the queue isn't even going to get built because there's no land that's even reasonable around those queue positions, right? There it's, you'd have to build something that costs twice as much as it should because the geotechnical con…”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 6:17
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kimber: Energy load will move directly to power generation sites
“Load will come to generation, right? So load is going to move toward the generation because the grid isn't going to be able to deliver that generation. And that's, you'll see it most, in a most pronounced fashion in these new industries because they don't have…”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 9:09
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kimber: Industrial energy clusters will concentrate in the Texas Panhandle
“We believe there will be large clusters around places like the Panhandle of Texas, where the wind and the sun are very, very advantageous, and the cost of power can not only be low, but Also, the capacity factor, even without battery storage, can be, you know,…”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 9:37
Opinion
Kimber: Very Few Hydrogen Developers Have Built 500MW+ Renewable Facilities
“I challenge most people who call themselves hydrogen developers, you know, when you talk to them to ask them how many, 500 megawatt plus renewable facilities they built, because there aren't very many of those, but there's a lot of hydrogen developers.”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 10:39
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kimber: Texas Panhandle Electrolysis Will Reach Tens of Gigawatts
“So, you know, over the longer term, I think that will be the very, very scalable output here, because the scale of what we're talking about, say, in the panhandle is, you know, ultimately probably in the tens of gigawatts of electrolysis by the time this is al…”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 11:25
Insight
Kimber: Most corporate green energy buyers are quietly saving money on power
“The kind of dirty little secret is that most of those companies have been saving money too, right? So they've all been, you know, heroes for the climate, but they've also been kind of making money out the back door, buying really cheap energy from guys like me…”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 14:37
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kimber: Energy-intensive businesses will reprioritize energy availability over decarbonization alone
“I do think a reprioritization around not just clean energy, but energy availability is coming for very, very energy intensive businesses generally.”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 15:01
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kimber: Utilities could build localized regional microgrids in constrained renewable zones
“So you could actually see kind of localized transmission networks even if it's not behind the meter serving as kind of almost like mini microgrid or, you know, maxi microgrids, if you will, you know larger versions of microgrids that are still public utilities…”
Sheldon Kimber Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 17:14
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