Mansour: Prediction markets are required to accurately price complex traditional assets
Tarek Mansour · Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara · Mar 17, 2026 · at 59:32
Kalshi co-founder Tarek Mansour references research by economist Kevin Hassett to explain how granular prediction markets solve asset pricing entropy.
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“And if those dimensions, you don't have a good understanding of x one to x n you cannot get a good estimate of y, right? And so you, the paper basically says that you need infinite markets. And prediction markets are this notion of infinite markets, which is like, you have to have a market for each one of these X's so that you can then take that back into pricing traditional asset getting good traditional asset prices.”
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