Disclosure certainty 4/5 debate potential 2/5

Lopes Lara: Kalshi is developing derivatives for luxury watches and collectibles

Luana Lopes Lara · Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara · Mar 17, 2026 · at 40:06

Luana Lopes Lara, co-founder of federally regulated prediction market Kalshi, discusses expanding the exchange's asset classes into novel physical commodities and collectibles.

0:00 / 0:12exact quote · 12.3s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“One thing that we're very excited for, we're actually starting to go in the direction of, for example, things like watches and bags and all of those things are like more going to the collectible side. They're actually able to do derivatives on those things.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Luana Lopes Lara

Opinion
Lopes Lara: 2024 election showed prediction markets outperform traditional polling
“The polls were completely wrong and the markets were so much better at bringing that sort of information, and I think that it's the shining example of why these markets are forced for good, and we need to have them in the US and regulated”
Luana Lopes Lara Mar 17, 2026 ▶ 13:05 Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lopes Lara: Over 95% of Kalshi maker orders come from peer-to-peer traders
“Over 95 are just like. Peer-to-peer, like, or funds that have like two people that just got stuck.”
Luana Lopes Lara Mar 17, 2026 ▶ 27:35 Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
Disclosure
Lopes Lara: Kalshi never limits winning traders
“To be clear, we don't limit any winners.”
Luana Lopes Lara Mar 17, 2026 ▶ 35:17 Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lopes Lara: Prediction markets will improve polling accuracy, not destroy it
“My take is that polls are just going to get a lot better, because what people are going to be is like, okay, I can make money if my polls are right, so I'm just going to commission this poll, and I'm going to do this, And now you can actually, like, compete a …”
Luana Lopes Lara Mar 17, 2026 ▶ 46:32 Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
Disclosure
Lopes Lara: Kalshi will never list war, terrorism, or assassination markets
“There are a lot of things that we wouldn't do, like wildfires we don't do, war, terrorism, assassination. Those things are bad, and like, there's a moral side of these markets, and we're not going to ever go there.”
Luana Lopes Lara Mar 17, 2026 ▶ 1:02:23 Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
Insight
Lopes Lara: Fintech and healthcare startups cannot operate by asking forgiveness
“I think that the approach we took from the start was that financial services or healthcare, I think you can't ask for forgiveness. I think there's a big difference between losing people's money, see what goes wrong, like an FTX example that can go very wrong w…”
Luana Lopes Lara Mar 17, 2026 ▶ 2:21 Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, about 28 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.