supercuts / ai-predictions
Every big AI prediction
AGI timelines, model wars, who wins. As said, when said. · 20 clips, 6 minutes, hands free.
0:00 / 0:35exact quote · 35.5s
1/20Jenkins: IRA Will Cut U.S. Emissions by One Gigaton in 2030
Jesse Jenkins · 2022Openfull source →
1Jenkins: IRA Will Cut U.S. Emissions by One Gigaton in 2030Jesse Jenkins · 36sOpen
2Lubershane: Retail electricity prices will outpace inflation, driving broader inflationAndy Lubershane · 23sOpen
3Sridhar: AI revolution cannot be powered without natural gasK.R. Sridhar · 5s
4Kimber: AI data centers will never offer flexible power loadSheldon Kimber · 26sDidn’t hold up
5Moerenhout: Zero Chance Energy Transition Succeeds on Schedule Without ChinaTom Moerenhout · 3s
6Hade: A catastrophic power grid failure will occur in the United StatesTim Hade · 11s
7Waste-oil aviation fuels cannot scale to meet double-digit jet fuel demandVarun Sivaram · 17sHeld up
8Quantum computers will outperform DeepMind's AI models at predicting protein foldingMark Cupta · 10sOpen
9Janous: Vast majority of computation will remain in 100MW+ data centersBrian Janous · 9s
10Bulk of AI energy consumption will power long-running background processesGarth Sheldon-Coulson · 16s
11Pacific Fusion on track to achieve net facility gain by 2030Carrie Von Munch · 5sOpen
12Linville: Prolonged Hormuz closure through autumn will trigger global fertilizer rationingJosh Linville · 16s
13Vahdat: Interactive AI models will require geographically distributed inference infrastructureAmin Vahdat · 19s
14Elder: Substantial AI model training will happen in space within 30 yearsJake Elder · 5s
15Araque: Super-hot geothermal will achieve $50 to $100 per MWh globallyCarlos Araque · 42sOpen
16Araque: Quaise will achieve 25-30 MW EGS flow test by end of 2026Carlos Araque · 20sOpen
17Araque: Quaise will run first supercritical geothermal flow test by 2028Carlos Araque · 23sOpen
18Kann rejects Musk's claim that orbital data centers will be cheapest soonShayle Kann · 12sOpen
19Cyber-physical AI applications will require edge computing for low latencyDr. Ben Lee · 14s
20Lubershain: The nuclear industry cannot sustain a Cambrian explosion of reactor designsAndy Lubershane · 32s