The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Nolan: Advanced reactors will surprise on deployment speed for AI demand
“We think that they're going to surprise everyone in their deployment speed and scale up, and, you know, just looking at the landscape of energy demand in the U.S. We haven't grown the grid for decades and yet now we have this huge surge of demand for data cent…”
Nolan: General Matter will displace adversarial nuclear imports by 2030
“Building enough capacity there to satisfy HALU through the next decade, and then enough LEU capacity to displace adversarial imports into the US. And so that's the scale of it. That's where we're doing it. Timeline is, you know, Before end of decade.”
Nolan: US has no commercial-scale domestic enrichers, relies on Europe and Russia
“If you look at enrichment today and what the U.S. Consumes, It's about 75% Europe, European producers and it's about 25% Russia. And so we can talk about the history of how we got here, but there's no commercial at scale U.S. Producer operating anywhere. There…”
US uranium enrichment market share dropped from 86% to under 0.1%
“And so we went from a place of 86% global market share down to less than .1% today by U.S. Companies or U.S. Entities.”
Nolan: US waiver process for Russian uranium imports expires January 1, 2028
“Well, in, in twenty-twenty-four, there was a Russian uranium imports ban passed by Congress, and so there's a waiver process that's ongoing right now where the Secretary of Energy can waive the ban. If a utility needs it and there's not another source, which h…”
Nolan: Most advanced reactors will use 19.75% enriched HALEU fuel
“Most of the advanced reactors that you hear about are going to be using 19.75 enriched fuel.”
Paducah was the last site of US commercial-scale uranium enrichment
“Paducah is actually the last place the U.S. Did commercial scale enrichment. It's where we did enrichment that fueled all the U.S. Reactors, and that facility was shut down in 2013”