why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ransohoff: A $1 Trillion Voluntary Carbon Removal Market Is Highly Unlikely
“A voluntary market of a trillion dollars a year is Is highly unlikely to happen.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ransohoff: Carbon removal prices will take decades to converge
“I just think that, you know, for them to be even in the realm of similar prices is going to take, you know, we are basically putting the first dot on the cost curves right now, and those cost curves look different for every single company, and it's going to ta…”
Assertion Supported
Ransohoff: Under 10,000 tons permanently removed globally across $30M historical spend
“For context, to date, probably about thirty million total has been spent on frontier carbon removal, and less than 10,000 tons that have actually been permanently removed”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ransohoff: US lacks dedicated permanent CO2 storage infrastructure like Iceland's Carbfix
“Transportation and storage of CO₂ streams is something that we are seeing a lot of the companies that apply to Stripe Climate struggle with. You know, they will have a really compelling capture technology and can essentially use lots of different storage They …”
Assertion Supported
Ransohoff: Stripe Climate faces severe carbon removal shortage, buying into 2026
“One of our big observations over these past two rounds of purchases has been, you know, we have a massive supply shortage. Currently Stripe Climate is buying carbon removal years into the future. For some of these companies, 20, 20, 26.”