The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Grunwald: Feeding 2050 Population Needs Two Indias' Worth of New Land
“If, even if we continue to increase farm yields at the same rate they've increased throughout the Green Revolution we're gonna need another two India's worth of land, which essentially means, you know, gonna bye-bye Amazon and Congo rainforests, you know, very…”
Mike Grunwald Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 5:40 The climate-ag grab bag
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Grunwald: Halving Beef and Waste Won't Eliminate Yield Gap by 2050
“Even if we Reduced our beef consumption 50% in rich countries, and reduced food waste 50% in the entire world, we would still need, you know, the numbers are so bad that we would still need to jack up our yields significantly to feed ten billion people by twen…”
Mike Grunwald Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 36:27 The climate-ag grab bag
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2050
Grunwald: Global Food Production Needs 6 Quadrillion More Calories by 2050
“You know, we're probably at this point gonna need about six quadrillion more calories by twenty-fifty which is, you know, I like to say it's like a dozen Olive Garden breadsticks every day for every human being on Earth. That's extra. We're gonna have to grow.”
Mike Grunwald Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 5:14 The climate-ag grab bag
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Grunwald: Metro Greenhouses Will Disrupt Long-Distance Lettuce Shipping
“I'm more bullish about the greenhouse because the sun is really awesome, and it seems like a better source of energy than, you know, trying to make your own which is why I think some of those greenhouses are going to solve the lettuce problem, and I think you'…”
Mike Grunwald Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 30:32 The climate-ag grab bag
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