The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Larson expects gas plant capacity factors to plummet by the mid-2030s
“We see that going down into, like, the twenties. Because wind and solar are coming on at such huge volumes in their variables. So you're running these gas plants in a much different way by the mid-twenty-thirties.”
Larson: Most gas plants will reduce capacity factors instead of installing CCS
“Most of the gas is just going to ramp down instead of installing carbon capture.”
Larson: EPA power plant rule faces immediate lawsuits and Supreme Court challenge
“And then as soon as that's in the federal register, then the lawsuits are going to start Flying. And they will presume they all, almost all will go to the D.C. Circuit, which will then eventually, you know, one, everybody expects something, some challenge on t…”
Larson: State EPA Off-Ramps Will Impact Gas Plants More Than Coal
“I think probably more for gas than for coal. I mean, coal's on its way out. You know, I mean, and there might be a handful of plants that end up getting tied up into the scenario you just described, but compared to existing gas plants, it's a relatively small …”
Larson: IRA will cut US power emissions to ~500M tons by mid-2030s
“With our IRA analysis, we see... Power sector CO two emissions dropping potentially quite a large amount, like from like the one and a half billion tons or so from last year. Down to maybe half a billion tons, even lower in some instances, depending on the eco…”