The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Campbell: AI will not replace software engineers but make individuals team-scale
“I don't see this replacing software engineers. Just as it empowered me, like I very much see a great software engineer just using this to save a ton of time, right? Telling it exactly what to do with a level of specificity about programming that I could never …”
Duncan Campbell Jun 15, 2023 ▶ 1:13:07 AI for climate: a real world test
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Campbell: LLMs will empower Excel and systems thinkers across the energy industry
“Energy industry is full of people who are like great at Excel and really good at systems thinking, but are not programmers. So I think you could see a lot of people empowered by this.”
Duncan Campbell Jun 15, 2023 ▶ 1:11:25 AI for climate: a real world test
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Campbell: Generating Plotly charts with ChatGPT took longer than the optimizer
“Just the fact that the optimizer worked is one thing, but like actually parsing all of that, that schedule you've created and present creating outputs that are useful and charts is its own whole like finicky journey. So then I started digging into all of that …”
Duncan Campbell Jun 15, 2023 ▶ 36:42 AI for climate: a real world test
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