The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 2open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2033

Visioni: Planet-altering geoengineering deployment is extremely unlikely in next decade

“Whatever happens, we're not doing, we're not going to change the planet in the next decade. There, we just, there's no upside. There's, it's extremely unlikely.”

Dan Visioni Sep 14, 2023 ▶ 41:15 Stopping geoengineering, by accident

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2072

Visioni: Space mirrors for geoengineering unlikely in next 50 years

“It is very unlikely that in the next 2030, 50 years, we could scale up space industry in a way that would allow us to have large, gigantic, controllable space mirrors at L Two.”

Dan Visioni Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 25:35 Making sense of solar engineering

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The Ledger

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