why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sharp: Data centers built for spiky training runs will face major failures
“There's going to be some probably written about very big challenges and failures where they wanted a total capacity block, but they couldn't support the densification, or they were just building for the spike. It was very spiky, but the longer term utilization…”
Prediction Held up
Sharp: AI inference, not training, will drive future data center growth
“I would say that there's been a lot of growth in that, but we see that kind of leveling out where we really see the consumption of AI or inference that's driving that regional specific growth going forward. And I think that's where it's more embedded. And a lo…”
Assertion Supported
Sharp: Gas turbine delivery backlog extends past 2029
“Some markets were always investigating, you know, different types of, you know, solutions via gas turbines and, Even those are backlog plus 20, 29, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sharp: AI inference deployments require 5-megawatt blocks, unlike training arrays
“What we're really seeing is inference. Can come in, in like, five-ish megawatt blocks, and you can solve for it a bit differently. Now, the densification is still there, and then the private AI pieces, there's hot spots where it can be, you know, a couple of m…”
Assertion Supported
Sharp: Text-to-text AI workloads can service North America from three markets
“Yeah, we see a lot of text to text scenarios where that workload can be deployed, you know, in two or three markets throughout North America and service the entire market.”
Assertion Supported
Sharp: Transformer lead times for data centers exceed 50 weeks
“Some of the, you know, broader infrastructure constraints are transformer lead times are 50 plus weeks right now.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sharp: Hyperscalers prefer contiguous 100 MW halls over distributed mini-centers
“That's the outlier of what we're seeing is that to operationalize, they would really like it to be more of a contiguous scenario where they do logically think about them as five megawatt chunks, and they want a bit of resiliency... What we're seeing is having …”
Assertion Supported
Sharp: Northern Virginia data centers have a 0.5% vacancy rate
“I mean, some of the most recent stats, it has .five percent vacancy rate, which is phenomenal.”