The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hoyland: Geothermal will add more firm capacity than clean competitors by 2035
“And so in terms of adding low-cost, firm, renewable energy in the next five to 10 years, we really think there's a chance to add more with geothermal than any other competitive form.”
Carl Hoyland May 29, 2025 ▶ 31:07 How geothermal gets built
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2030
Hoyland: Unlikely US has another gigawatt-scale conventional geothermal resource
“But at least here in the United States, it's unlikely that there's another gigawatt-scale conventional geothermal resource to be discovered of that type.”
Carl Hoyland May 29, 2025 ▶ 9:58 How geothermal gets built
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hoyland: Geothermal projects can realistically reach completion in three to four years
“If you just take it down to the bare bones of you need about one to two years to explore and confirm the resource, and about One and a half to two years to construct that power facility and tie it into the grid. So the ideal scenario would be three to four yea…”
Carl Hoyland May 29, 2025 ▶ 27:40 How geothermal gets built
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hoyland: Deploying geothermal in unconventional regions will take decades
“As drilling costs come down, or as demand for clean firm power continues to increase, we see the economic shifting to where you could start to justify new build geothermal using some of these new methods, and even more unconventional locations. We think that t…”
Carl Hoyland May 29, 2025 ▶ 30:05 How geothermal gets built
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