The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2035
Kugelmass: Advanced chemistry nuclear reactors will not deploy until mid-2030s
“The ones that are most realistic, even by their own admission, by the way, to be built in the next five to 10 years, are the ones that use the traditional proven reactor technology and don't introduce some sort of physics chemistry or material science innovati…”
Brett Kugelmass Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 13:21 Strong opinions on SMRs
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kugelmass predicts Poland will lead the world in next-generation nuclear deployment
“I think the most activity that we've seen anywhere, like, once again, including with our own company, is in Poland. You know, there's, like, a confluence of circumstances there between, you know, sustained political and social support. Their energy security is…”
Brett Kugelmass Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 35:18 Strong opinions on SMRs
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