The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

4statements match

1resolved → 0open predictions → 1held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up

Lipman: Most lab-grown meat startups will fail to reach commercial scale

“I'm anticipating that the vast majority will not be able to reach commercial scale and not be able to reach the market, so we'll either see a bunch of consolidation or a bunch of dead companies in the wake of whatever reckoning may be coming.”

Ari Lipman Jan 18, 2022 ▶ 38:14 Microbes, meat and materials: biotech meets climatetech

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Lipman: Animal agriculture is never going to completely disappear

“And I don't think animal agriculture is ever going to go away.”

Ari Lipman Jan 18, 2022 ▶ 20:52 Microbes, meat and materials: biotech meets climatetech

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Lipman: Cultured meat will not achieve an affordable price point at scale

“Technically they may be able to, but I don't think that it will come out at any affordable price at the end of that scaling process.”

Ari Lipman Jan 18, 2022 ▶ 38:52 Microbes, meat and materials: biotech meets climatetech

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Lipman: Lab-grown meat will struggle to gain non-coastal consumer adoption

“And I think lab grown meat is all, is going to really struggle to you know, get consumers on board, especially not coastal consumers, not the ones on the blue coasts.”

Ari Lipman Jan 18, 2022 ▶ 38:59 Microbes, meat and materials: biotech meets climatetech

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