why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Hade: Utility scale is 90% of US battery growth and C&I is virtually zero
“Of that, you know, roughly 40 gigawatts of storage that's been added to the grid over the last five years something like 90% of it is utility scale, and 10% is residential, and if you add 90 and 10, that gets to a hundred, which means that basically nothing is…”
Assertion Supported
Hade: PJM capacity prices have increased 11x over 36 months
“The way to think about this in PJM, right, is capacity prices have gone up 11 X in the last 36 months.”
Assertion Supported
Hade: Microgrid ITC was only appropriated for two years, leaving one usable year
“The IRA included what's called the microgrid investment tax credit, which allowed the switch gear that is islandable to receive a 30% tax credit to sort of help bridge that gap. Unfortunately that was only appropriated for two years, and we still don't have th…”
Assertion Partly supported
Hade: 95% of C&I loads are sub-2MW, but soft costs prevent microgrids
“Ninety-five-ish percent of commercial and industrial loads are below two megawatts, right? But almost all the microgrids are built above two megawatts, and the reason for that is not technology cost, it's all soft cost, right?”
Assertion Supported
Hade: Grid interconnection queue wait times reach up to nine years
“If you want to build a utility scale battery in PJM today, and you submit your interconnection application to get in the queue, on average, you're waiting about six years right now. In Kaiso, you're waiting maybe nine years. In ERCOT, you're waiting maybe four…”
Assertion Supported
Hade: Most data centers globally use diesel generators for backup power
“Most data centers in the world today, those backup power generation devices are diesel generators, right? Increasingly, they're becoming natural gas generators, but for most data centers, they're diesel generators.”
Assertion Supported
Hade: Four components comprise most microgrids deployed today
“Solar storage, switchgear, and dispatchable generation assets, and some combination of those come together to, you know, create most microgrids that are being deployed in the market today.”
Assertion Supported
Hade: Switchgear lead times surged from 20 to 60-70 weeks post-COVID
“Which is typically, like, 20 week lead times on Switchgear. That was kind of what the market was before COVID. Today, it's more like 60 to 70 weeks.”