The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Jaffe: Tesla Gigafactory discarded nearly half of its first-year battery cells
“The most famous, of course, is the first Tesla Gigafactory, which apparently they had close to half of their cells that they produced in the first year of that factory's production had to be discarded because they weren't getting the quality right.”
Sam Jaffe Dec 12, 2024 ▶ 19:55 What went wrong at Northvolt?
Prediction Held up
Jaffe: Treasury will likely apply EV battery 50% value rule in aggregate
“The, a good assumption to make is that it's, everything's going to be put into a bucket, 50% of the overall value of that battery has to be satisfied, but they haven't specifically said that yet.”
Sam Jaffe Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 9:39 Is the Inflation Reduction Act a win for EVs and batteries?
Prediction Held up
Jaffe: EVs will hit about 6% of new US sales by 2024
“We think that we're going to get to about six percent by 2024, six percent of new cars sold will be EVs.”
Sam Jaffe Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 38:51 Is the Inflation Reduction Act a win for EVs and batteries?
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