Crux CEO Alfred Johnson details how hybrid tax equity structures expanded total tax equity volumes alongside transferability.
Assertion Partly supported
Johnson: 90% of tax credit projects sit in Republican-held congressional districts
“People are looking at 90% of projects with, that are benefiting from the credits being in districts that are represented by Republicans.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
170 new manufacturing facilities will bring large volumes of 45X tax credits
“There's also so much 45 X coming, so there were something like a 170 investments that have been announced in manufacturing and mining facilities of various kinds across 37 states totaling billions of dollars, hundreds of billions of dollars, and so that means …”
Assertion Supported
Alfred Johnson: Transferable tax credits average 92-94 cents, beating LIHTC pricing
“The average credit price that we found in the sample was 92 to 94 cents, and this is better average pricing than we see currently in the thirty-seven-year-old Lytec market”
Assertion Supported
Johnson: 2023 clean energy tax credit transactions will reach $7B-$9B
“If you trust our numbers, then it's something like seven to nine billion that will transact, but it's capped. And there was more demand than supply. There is still more demand than supply on those 23 credits.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Johnson: Annual clean energy tax credit market will reach $100B by 2030
“And in the world where we're at a hundred billion dollar a year Annual tax credit market that is, you know, five years, six years advanced from where we sit today. I think that market will be a lot more standardized. I think technology will sit at the center o…”
Assertion Partly supported
Johnson: Clean energy financing reached $200B on $120B CapEx in 2025
“When I tell you that the CapEx number, so the total investment in these projects, was a hundred and twenty billion in twenty-twenty-five, the total financing number is actually north of 200, because some amount of the capital that came in later takes out earli…”