Duncan Campbell describes the limitations of ChatGPT when given a complex energy trading optimization problem without domain scaffolding.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Campbell: AI will not replace software engineers but make individuals team-scale
“I don't see this replacing software engineers. Just as it empowered me, like I very much see a great software engineer just using this to save a ton of time, right? Telling it exactly what to do with a level of specificity about programming that I could never …”
Insight
Campbell: Building complex software with ChatGPT requires iterative prompting
“It's very hard to kind of, like, top-down build it, because there's a bunch of little errors everywhere. It's, like, hard to track what's going on. And I pretty quickly reverted to, like, bottom-up building it. Like, building one element, like, slowly working …”
Insight
Campbell: Blindly prompting LLMs to debug code leads to nonsensical rabbit holes
“In debugging, if you kind of just, like, keep prompting it, like, fix this, here's the error, like, here's the message I'm getting back in error, and you just kind of, like, assume it's gonna be smart. You can wind up in, like, rabbit holes that just don't mak…”
Insight
Campbell: ChatGPT's 'permaflow' eliminates human context-switching penalties
“Every time you go back to you know, chat.openai.com and go into this chat, It has a perfect state of where it was previously, right? So I said four or five hours of continuous work, but in reality, it was a bunch of 45 minute segments. And I didn't have to lik…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Campbell: LLMs will empower Excel and systems thinkers across the energy industry
“Energy industry is full of people who are like great at Excel and really good at systems thinking, but are not programmers. So I think you could see a lot of people empowered by this.”
Opinion
Campbell: Parsing utility tariffs is a holy grail LLM energy use case
“A persistent issue in the electricity industry for as long as I've been doing this job is utility tariffs, right? Every utility has some 700 page document that outlines massive The complex nuances of how users will pay for electricity. And we're talking about …”