The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Bessent: 1992 pound short risked only 2.5% against massive asymmetric upside
“Because of the exchange rate mechanism, the Bank of England or the British government had to buy an unlimited number of pounds to keep the pound in a quarter. So it was an asymmetric bet. We could push them up against the wall And the most they could push us b…”
Bessent: Soros used 300% leverage to gain 140% trading 1980s currency accords
“He kept a trading journal in a year when he was up over a 140%, and these currency, the realignments, the plaza cord, the lube cord happened. The things move six percent in a night, and He would add a 300% position because things really used to trend a lot mor…”
Bessent: Soros bought Jon Corzine's $3.5B Italian bond liquidation in 2011
“I think five days in, the biggest trade I'd ever done was John Corzine's firm got liquidated out of their Italian bond position, and it was a three and a half billion dollar trade. I still had the index card that I worked it out on. JP Morgan called us, and I …”