Scott Bessent discusses George Soros's foundational book 'The Alchemy of Finance' and Soros's aggressive positioning during historical macro currency realignments in the 1980s.
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Bessent: Marine Le Pen will become president of France in 18-24 months
“I would predict that in the next 18 or 24 months, Marine Le Pen
The bête noire of European politics is going to be president of France, and she's going to be president of France because the alternative on the left is worse than she is.”
Opinion
Bessent: 2024 election is last chance to outgrow US debt burden
“And I think we can through deregulation, energy, independence, and dominance in the U.S., and a growth mindset. We can get back to growth. I feel very strongly that this is the last chance to grow our way out of this.”
Insight
Bessent: Microeconomic company data drives macro decisions better than aggregate models
“My style, still the Duquesne style, is that the micro drives the macro. We can get a huge amount of information from what companies are telling us. We can't predict the PCE deflator better than anybody. We can't have a better model for LEI, but if trucking com…”
Opinion
Bessent: Xi Jinping won't allow market clearing needed for a sustainable economy
“He's a Leninist, so he's not going to allow a clearing function in the market
that would
Allow for a sustainable Chinese economy.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bessent: A Bretton Woods-scale realignment is coming to global trade
“I also felt very strongly that we're in the midst of a great realignment and of a Bretton Woods realignments coming in terms of global policy, global trade.”
Insight
Bessent: Why defending the British pound in 1992 was politically impossible
“My contribution was just an observation that the British housing market, that mortgages there, floated with the base rate, which is their overnight rate. And if the Bank of England raised rates on Wednesday, mortgages went up on Friday. If they were trying to …”