The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Lyon: Private equity falsely held 2022 valuations flat despite public market plunges
“If you looked at 2022, the S&P was down 20%. The NASDAQ was down 30%. Let's say private equity lives somewhere between those two worlds. Private equity was flat for the year.”
David Lyon Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 26:51 David Lyon – Hybrid Capital Solutions for Private Assets (EP.471)
Assertion Supported
Grantham: Oil dropping to 2.5% of S&P is largest historic sector loss
“Oil as a percentage of the S&P had come down from 25% in 1982 and 16% in oh eight to two and a half percent yesterday. This is the biggest loss of value in the history of the major groups of the S&P that goes all the way back into the 20.”
Jeremy Grantham Jul 8, 2021 ▶ 30:36 Jeremy Grantham – GMO (Manager Meetings, EP.01)
Assertion Supported
O'Shaughnessy: S&P 500 still beats hedge funds on a Sharpe ratio basis
“I think on Sharpe ratio, it still would have been the S&P.”
Patrick O'Shaughnessy May 2, 2017 ▶ 41:36 The Bet with Buffett (Capital Allocators, EP.05)
Assertion Supported
Khoury: Real Estate Is the Only S&P Sector Down Since 2022
“You're talking to somebody who's investing in the only GIC sector in the S&P that's still materially down since 22. The GIC and REITs is down almost 20%, while the S&P is up 40. We've now, since the beginning of 22, underperformed the S&P by 60%. I believe the…”
John Khoury Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 56:09 John Khoury – Asymmetry and Opportunity in Public Real Estate at Long Pond (EP.474)
Assertion Supported
André Perold: S&P 500 gained 9% annually since 2005, 3% from multiples
“You know, the last 15 years that we've been in business, if you look at the return on the S&P, it's nine percent a year since the late 2005. Of the nine, three percent a year has come from multiple expansion, and that three percent a year is entirely consisten…”
André Perold Dec 21, 2020 ▶ 42:08 André Perold – Pockets of Inefficiency at HighVista Strategies (Capital Allocators, EP.169)
Assertion Supported
Biotech underperformed tech and matched the S&P 500 over five years
“It's interesting that if you go look at the biotech industry relative or any of the small cap biotech industries relative to the NASDAQ or relative to the S&P, they've underperformed the NASDAQ, so they've underperformed tech the last four or five years. They'…”
Jordi Visser Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 1:09:32 Jordi Visser – Next Generation of Manager Allocation (Capital Allocators, EP.92)
Assertion Supported
Russo's portfolio fell 2% in 1999 while major indices gained mid-twenties
“For example, in 1999, I was down two percent, and the Dow and the S&P were both up mid-twenties. That's a big miss, let's just say.”
Tom Russo Jul 10, 2017 ▶ 37:05 Thomas Russo – Buy and Hold...and Then What (Capital Allocators, EP.16)
Assertion Supported
S&P outperforming international stocks by 100% over a decade is historically rare
“This is the first time in a long time, and only the third time in history, that international stocks have been outperformed by the S&P by a hundred percent. Over the trailing 1010 year period.”
Josh Brown May 9, 2017 ▶ 36:17 Josh Brown – When Witchcraft Failed (Capital Allocators, EP.06)
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 700 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.