why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Elliott secured Caesars bankruptcy date agreement to trigger CDS payout
“And he had been running very tough negotiation with Apollo and struck a very, very tough deal because he knew that Apollo needed an ally really badly. And so he got all sorts of goodies, including a convertible preferred security, as well as one of these well-…”
Assertion Supported
Caesars' B-7 loan eliminated its maintenance covenant and parent guarantee
“And they offered them very, very generous fees, among other things, to participate in this transaction that accomplishes three things. One, it's gonna give them some liquidity to refinance out some of their other debt. Two, it's going to remove the most onerou…”
Assertion Supported
Examiner found $5B in potential claims against Caesars and PE executives
“Richard Davis, a former Watergate prosecutor, chosen as an examiner at the beginning of the case and gets deep access and interviews, you know, 75 different people who are designing and behind these transactions. Goes through millions of documents with a team …”
Assertion Supported
Caesars restructuring centered on fraudulent conveyance accusations over property transfers
“The mass tort in the case of Caesars is the accusation of fraudulent conveyance in these transactions where many of the top properties of the Caesars opco ended up in these affiliated entities where Apollo owned them, and they were out of the hands of Creditor…”
Assertion Supported
Apollo and TPG transferred Caesars casinos to bankruptcy-remote entities
“Apollo and TPG executed a series of these complex asset deals, asset transfers, financial engineering, where more money is put in the business. They buy casinos from the existing Caesars and Harris Opgo, all in an attempt, ostensibly, to Keep everybody's inves…”
Assertion Contradicted
Kleinman: Apollo was first to house private credit and PE together
“We were the first folks to come out of the GFC saying, well, we should have private credit business and a private equity business under the same roof.”
Assertion Supported
Apollo raised record PE fund following Caesars bankruptcy loss
“And while it was a Huge loss for Apollo and TPG. Their reputations of being able to fight for their LPs allowed them to immediately after the conclusion of the bankruptcy and the confirmation in 2017, two years later, they raised the largest private equity fun…”
Assertion Supported
Rubenstein: Blackstone, Carlyle, KKR, Apollo make 95% of profits in developed markets
“In the end, if you look at the large firms that we're now talking about, and I'll use the four big ones, Blackstone, Carlyle, KKR, and Apollo. They make 95% of their money in the developed markets. I'm counting China and India, I suppose, is developed for this…”
Assertion Partly supported
Stavros: Top PE firms each control up to one million employees
“Or in a more concentrated way, could you convince Blackstone, Carlyle, TPG, Apollo, Aries, Warburg, Pincus, Bain, a handful of companies which each control half a million, million employees.”
Assertion Supported
Apollo aligned with Elliott and GSO to pressure junior creditors
“They go into bankruptcy with this deal with Elliott. They very quickly get a deal with the GSO group, and that is supposed to create all kinds of pressure on the most junior debt holder, which is the Oak Tree Appaloosa second lead bondholders.”
Assertion Supported
Rubenstein: Blackstone, KKR, and Apollo lacked global footprints when Carlyle expanded
“Blackstone, KKR, and Apollo really hadn't built international businesses, honestly, at that time, as we were beginning to do it.”
Assertion Supported
Kleinman: Apollo Bought Compass Minerals Under 6x EBITDA, Made 5x Return
“We bought it at under six times enterprise value to EBITDA, but because of the nature of that business, much of its business went into highway salt. You were able to scale the business. It was a surprisingly more stable business than you would have thought, an…”
Assertion Partly supported
Blackstone, Blue Owl, KKR, and Apollo have hundreds serving wealth
“Blackstone has a team of hundreds of people. Blue Owl, hundreds of people, KKR, Apollo, hundreds of people to serve the Wealth Channel.”
Assertion Supported
Apollo was founded to buy distressed assets originally financed by Drexel
“And a firm I eventually went to work for Apollo came out of Drexel, and their business was buying up the assets that they had been the investment bank for that actually raised the money and issued all the junk bonds.”
Assertion Supported
Brown: Top PE firms like KKR and Apollo are tokenizing fund interests
“We're also seeing firms, and most recently KKR just announced this. Apollo also announced one. Hamilton Lane as well. They are tokenizing interests of their funds and putting them on the blockchain.”
Assertion Supported
Apollo and TPG funded 80% of Harrah's $30 billion buyout with debt
“They put together a deal to buy Cesar O'Hara's for almost thirty billion dollars, putting just six billion dollars down to it. So basically, 80% of the purchase price is funded with debt”