The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

1open predictions
0due for another look
2closed calls →
474days to next prediction date
Everyone Marko Papic (5)Eric Mogelof (5)Josh Wolfe (4)Larry Siegel (3)Ben Forman (3)Yann Robard (2)Tom Steyer (2)Ted Seides (2)Regan Bozman (2)Rajiv Jain (2)Matt Miller (2)Matt Brown (2)
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Next up (1)

474 days left 2027-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Seides: Unlocked Private Market Capital Will Flow Back Into Public Equities
“The biggest impact of that over the next couple of years is that when private markets unlock for liquidity, the first wave of that money from the institutional market is going to go back to the public markets. It's not going to get recycled in the private mark…”
Ted Seides Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 20:28 Year in Review 2025 (EP.478)

Closed calls (2) the full record →

Prediction Held up
Seides: Major private equity platforms will acquire deal teams within five years
“I'd be very surprised if you don't see one of the larger private equity players try to grow through acquiring teams. They are long capital and short origination or dealmaking capability relative to the capital they could command. So it does make sense that if …”
Ted Seides Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 27:04 Ted on Alt Goes Mainstream (EP.458)
Prediction Partly held up
Seides: Arctos Sports Partners Will Close at $1.5B in Few Months
“So they'll be closing. I think of it about a billion and a half in a few months.”
Ted Seides Mar 25, 2021 ▶ 21:45 Ted with Jenny Heller – Compounding Knowledge and Relationships (Capital Allocators, EP.185)
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