Philip Tetlock

1 statements across 1 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement May 11, 2026 by Tony Caruso · said 7 times in 4 episodes since 2018 · across every show →

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brought up most by Morgan Housel (4), Tony Caruso (1), Michael Mauboussin (1), Annie Duke (1)

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2026 1 mention in 1 episode
2024 5 mentions in 2 episodes 3 per episode
2018 1 mention in 1 episode

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Everything said about Philip Tetlock, oldest first

May 11, 2026 positive
Insight
UTIMCO prefers probabilistic 'fox' portfolio managers over overconfident storytellers
“Overconfidence. People who think they can predict the unpredictable. If you've read any books by Nate Silver or Philip Teplot, they call it the hedgehogs. The great storytellers, not the ones who actually assign probabilities and understand that there's uncert…”
Tony Caruso May 11, 2026 ▶ 55:26 Will England, Derek Drummond, and Tony Caruso – Disintermediating Pod Shops (EP.501)
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