office real estate

8 statements across 5 episodes · 3 bullish · 3 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Jul 20, 2020 by Taimur Hyat · across every show →

Everything said about office real estate, oldest first

Jul 20, 2020 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Physical offices will survive because companies cannot reinforce culture remotely
“We do think the demise of the office is a place where people convene, where companies' cultures and visions and missions are reinforced, particularly for new employees as these companies grow and change, will remain more important than those who say everybody …”
Taimur Hyat Jul 20, 2020 ▶ 39:11 Taimur Hyat – After the Great Lockdown (Capital Allocators, EP.149)
Jun 29, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mullen: Office real estate faces massive restructuring spilling into other sectors
“It's going to be a massive restructuring of that space. I suspect it'll spill into others, and so the debt part of that market is going to be great.”
Don Mullen Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 58:32 Don Mullen –Single-Family Rentals at Pretium (Capital Allocators, EP.324)
Jun 29, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Mullen: Office real estate has the greatest dispersion in its history
“I mean, office has the greatest dispersion today ever in office history.”
Don Mullen Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 42:58 Don Mullen –Single-Family Rentals at Pretium (Capital Allocators, EP.324)
Sep 25, 2023
Insight
Forman: Post-GFC real estate flipped from alpha-driven to sector beta-driven
“I think one thing that's really interesting that's changed in the real estate business that you were getting the beta regardless of the property type. So focusing on alpha was all that mattered. Unfortunately post GFC that's completely flipped on its head. So …”
Alan Forman Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 34:28 Alan Forman – Yale Endowment Real Estate (EP.340)
Dec 1, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khoury: AI Office Vacancies Will Eventually Dwarf AI Tenant Demand
“That space that AI tenants are taking will be dwarfed by the magnitude of vacancy that they create over time.”
John Khoury Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 40:16 John Khoury – Asymmetry and Opportunity in Public Real Estate at Long Pond (EP.474)
Dec 1, 2025 bearish
Disclosure
Khoury: Long Pond holds no long exposure to office real estate
“We don't really have exposure today in the long side.”
John Khoury Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 40:24 John Khoury – Asymmetry and Opportunity in Public Real Estate at Long Pond (EP.474)
Jul 30, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hochfelder: Weaker office real estate assets will continue to depreciate
“In contrast, I think the weaker assets may continue to depreciate. That relates to demand pullback. It also relates to the CapEx intensivity of those assets. You still have to pour a lot of capital in, and if you're never going to get the top-line rents, the R…”
Lauren Hochfelder Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 37:18 Building Durable Real Estate Portfolios at Morgan Stanley – Lauren Hochfelder (EP.514)
Jul 30, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hochfelder: Morgan Stanley is seeing all-time high rents in prime office assets
“We look across our office assets. We are seeing all time high rents. That demand for the best of the best office has never been stronger in many markets.”
Lauren Hochfelder Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 37:07 Building Durable Real Estate Portfolios at Morgan Stanley – Lauren Hochfelder (EP.514)
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