Gavin Baker
21 statements across 2 episodes · 7 bullish · 4 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Sep 8, 2025 by Ted Seides · said 8 times in 5 episodes since 2024 · across every show →
On the record as a speaker too: Gavin Baker's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.
Mentions by year
brought up most by Ted Seides (7), Ron Biscardi (1)
tap a year for its mentions
2025 4 mentions in 1 episode
2024 4 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
Everything said about Gavin Baker, oldest first
Sep 8, 2025 positive
Mar 2, 2026 neutral
Mar 2, 2026 positive
Mar 2, 2026 negative
Baker: Long growth and short value pairs create levered factor risk
“You can't be long a stock like GM and be short Tesla. From a quantitative perspective, that makes no sense. If you're long growth and short value, that's equally painful. If you're long value and short growth, that means you're just levered value. If you're lo…”
Mar 2, 2026 positive
Baker: Framing investment ideas as falsifiable hypotheses limits confirmation bias
“Instead of having an investment thesis, we have an investment hypothesis, thesis being a literal statement of belief, and if you state a belief, as a human, you become attached to it, whereas a hypothesis is quantitatively falsifiable, and you're attempting to…”
Mar 2, 2026
Baker: Atreides requires trusted founders or board VCs for large private bets
“I don't like to invest in a company and make it a big position unless it's either a repeat founder who I've had a long duration relationship with, or there is a VC who I have a close personal and professional relationship with, Who has a really good track reco…”
Mar 2, 2026 bearish
Mar 2, 2026
Mar 2, 2026
Understanding a business takes years, not 90 days of due diligence
“It's funny that some investors have an idea that you can do 90 days of work on a business and really understand it. I don't think it's possible. For me, to really understand a business, I need years of history, in some case decades, to see how the business and…”
Mar 2, 2026
Mar 2, 2026
Baker: Atreides manages fund positions via dynamic pilot and co-pilot roles
“Every position in the fund, I think of it as like an airplane. You can pick any moving vehicle. On some positions, I'm the pilot. On other positions, I'm the co-pilot. Some positions, I'm in the plane, and maybe the pilot or the co-pilot are people who I've wo…”
Mar 2, 2026 bullish
Mar 2, 2026
Mar 2, 2026 negative
Mar 2, 2026 positive
Baker: Evaluated analysts on clear factual arguments, not hit rate
“I didn't care whether the analysts at Fidelity got their stocks right or wrong. It was utterly immaterial to how I evaluated analysts. There's an analyst, he consistently had some of the worst stock picking metrics in the department. But I made a vast amount o…”
Mar 2, 2026
Mar 2, 2026 negative
Baker: Public companies targeted by short sellers should never publicly respond
“This is what you do the first time you get a short seller, write a report about you. Do not respond. I know it feels so personal. I know how personal it is, but just don't respond. Let the numbers do the talking. If you get in a public fight with them, it's ju…”
Mar 2, 2026 positive
Mar 2, 2026 bullish
Mar 2, 2026 neutral
Mar 2, 2026 neutral
Baker: Investors must urgently focus on data outside probability distributions
“Investing is a Bayesian endeavor. You have a Bayesian probability space of expected outcomes. The data points should fit within that. And then if there's a data point outside that, that's what you have to super focus. If a data points inside your expected prob…”