why aren't all 898 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Research shows high IQ does not lead to higher income
“There is little to no research that high IQ leads to higher income. Now there is research that shows really low IQ or very Like lower mid IQ and below does materially show that you're going to make less money. Lots of research showing that, but there's not a l…”
Opinion
Sanchez: Open border policies create massive tragedy and violence
“And I was really mad because a bunch of people were talking about how open border policies are kind, and I don't believe that at all. I think it creates massive tragedy and violence”
Insight
Sanchez: Your bank account reflects the value of your skill set
“A hard truth is if you don't like your bank account,
Your bank account is a reflection of how valuable you are currently in your skill set.”
Opinion
Sanchez: U.S. social programs are stealing from youth to pay older generations
“In fact, Scott Galloway has an incredible Ted talk basically talking about how these programs are stealing from the youth to give to the next generation. And I think that is actually true. I think if you are a mom, a dad, a grandma, a grandpa, and you look at …”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: China Uses Yuan for Most Cross-Border Transactions
“China has started to use its own currency for most cross-border transactions.”
Insight
Sanchez: Prosecuting former presidents triggers a retaliatory cycle when power shifts
“What happens when your guys go out of power and the other guys come into power? Then you just play a game of going after one another. It's why we shouldn't Arrest former presidents for political reasons.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Ozempic costs under $5 to make but sells for $1,000 monthly
“Well, Yale says that Ozempic costs less than five dollars a month to manufacture, And yet we're getting charged a thousand dollars a month for this drug. While the exact same product can be bought in Canada for a 155 dollars a month and 59 dollars a month in G…”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Major Democratic donors threatened to withhold 30 million unless Biden withdrew
“A bunch of the big Democratic donors are saying, I will keep my thirty million dollars I was going to donate to the Biden campaign unless they step down.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sanchez: Skilled trade grads earn up to $100K, out-earning marketing grads
“The average marketing major makes somewhere between 60 to 80,000 dollars a year. The average skilled trades worker after they graduate can make up where of 75 to a 100,000 dollars a year.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Sitting within 25 feet of an underperformer reduces performance 30%
“If you sit next to an underperformer, if an underperformer is sat within a 25 foot radius of a bunch of normal people like you and me, they take your performance down by 30%.”
Opinion
Sanchez: Focus should be moving workers out of minimum wage jobs
“We shouldn't be trying to raise the minimum wage. We should be trying to get people out of minimum wage jobs. That should be a stepping stone to a higher level job, and we should have more advancement in our careers as opposed to stagnation and expecting the s…”
Opinion
Sanchez: Most online creators telling people to quit are unemployable
“Most people on the internet are literally unemployable. Like, they've never had a real job. They don't understand people who have jobs. They tell you guys every single day why you should just quit and go all in, and it doesn't matter, and they've only ever bee…”
Insight
Sanchez: Young, hungry professionals should avoid remote jobs and work in-office
“I think if you are young, Hungry, and you want to make big moves, and make a bunch of money, you should not take a remote job. You want to be in the office.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: UFC shares only 13% of revenue compared to NBA's 50%
“NBA all the way to MLB are somewhere between 51 and 45%.
UFC is 13 to 14%.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sanchez: Divorce rates double for female lottery winners, but not men
“When men win the lottery, it's kind of, nothing really changes. They get married at the same rate. They have kids at the same rate. When women win the lottery, the divorce rates double.”
Insight
Sanchez: Women control household spending, but men understand overall finances
“The data shows us that women are the, have the purchasing power in the household. Like if you are Amazon or Walmart, you actually want to get to the female. Because she's typically the one doing a lot of the household spending. But the one with the understandi…”
Insight
Sanchez: A 30% to 45% close rate indicates optimal business pricing
“If you have an 80% close rate, you are way too underpriced in your business. If you have a 60% close rate, You're too underpriced in your business. If you have a 45 to 30% close rate, you're probably sitting just about right with your business pricing. And tha…”
Insight
Sanchez: Selling expensive services to fewer clients is easier than high-volume sales
“Also, by the way, way easier to sell fewer people more expensive things than it is to sell a ton of people something really cheap.”
Insight
Codie Sanchez: Never imitate competitor pricing, going premium is always easier
“Never, ever imitate. Don't let your sales people talk you into it. Don't let your friends talk you into it. Don't do it. Go premium. Premium is always easier.”
Insight
Sanchez: Market rates reflect competitor fear; most business owners are broke
“The market rate is the average of everybody else's fear. It's basically like I mean, most people are broke. Most business owners don't make any money. Why, dear God, would you price off of what most people do?”
What-if
Sanchez: Margin erosion from coupons prevented Bed Bath & Beyond's recovery
“The real thing that they did was discount because the coupon had already eaten the margin that would have bought them time to make up for their other dumb mistakes.”
Insight
Sanchez: A line out the door often signals a pricing error
“If the line's out the door, that's a clear sign of, in some ways, a pricing error, unless you have high volume, high speed sales.”
Insight
Sanchez: Repricing floor should be double current rates to be worthwhile
“Your floor is double what you charge today because anything less than double isn't worth the sweat.”
Opinion
Sanchez: Entrepreneurial culture fosters an unhealthy cult around hardship and unhappiness
“Often in entrepreneurship, at least, we obsess on not being happy, and like, there's also, like sort of a cult around it.”
Insight
Sanchez: Most business owners fail from burnout, not lack of cash flow
“Because most owners don't have their business fail because of not enough cash flow or because they can't generate enough profit. It's because they give up. And this problem has nothing to do with talent. It's really that you're too tired to keep going this way…”
Insight
Sanchez: Judge home service operators by the organization of their vans
“I could tell the good operators by the status of their cleaning vans. And so you open up the doors, and if it's a mess, I know that guy's not going to be on time, they're not going to hit their quota, and they're definitely never going to be in management.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: 70% to 80% of Listed Businesses Never Sell
“70 to 80% of businesses will never actually sell that are even listed for sale. Seven to eight out of every 10 owners who walk into the market to sell something walk home with nothing.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Owner Dependency Is the Number One Reason Businesses Don't Sell
“And when we look at the autopsy of these dead businesses, the number one reason, owner dependency.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Vividly fantasizing about success degrades actual performance
“The more vividly you fantasize about success, the worse you perform.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: NYU Study Shows Positive Fantasizing Reduces Job Offers and Earnings
“So there's this study we found in by NYU psychologists tracking college graduates entering the job market. And they basically found that the students who spent the most time in quote unquote, I love this line, positive fantasies about landing their dream job s…”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: There is zero correlation between having ADHD and becoming a millionaire
“Also, there is zero correlation. Between having ADHD and being a millionaire, like zero.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: UPenn study found positive fantasizing reduced weight loss by 24 pounds
“At University of Penn, they found the same pattern in weight loss, actually. Like the women who fantasized most positively about their future selves, they lost 24 pounds less in one year than the women who pictured the process going badly.”
Insight
Sanchez: Wealth comes from ownership and equity, not salaries
“Most people do not get rich through a salary. Pause. They get rich because their skills were so good somebody wanted them to own.”
Opinion
Sanchez: Steve Jobs' Toughness Worked Because the Work Always Came First
“Steve jobs was effective because he was tough. Plenty of tough bosses build terrible companies, but he was effective because everyone knew the work came first.”
Insight
Sanchez: Great employees and partners want clarity, while weak ones want comfort
“I've learned that great employees want clarity. Great friends and partners want clarity. Weak ones want comfort. And I don't want you to confuse the two.”
Insight
Sanchez: The feedback sandwich trains employees to distrust praise and dread criticism
“The standard management advice of like how you're supposed to give feedback, which is called the sandwich, which is praise, criticism, praise, trains employees to distrust, praise and dread criticism.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Jensen Huang Has 60 Direct Reports at Nvidia
“He has 60 direct reports, six zero. Most CEOs have eight to 10.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sanchez: Nvidia Has 2% Turnover and 5x Longer Employee Retention
“Now it sounds brutal, but NVIDIA's employees stay five X longer than industry average. Turnover is two percent.”
Disclosure
Sanchez: Feedback at Contrarian Thinking is Delivered in Groups, Not One-on-Ones
“Any feedback I have to give goes to those two groups as opposed to one-on-ones. I do not do one-on-ones.”
Disclosure
Sanchez: San Diego is where young people go to retire
“We would never have an office there and we would never live there full time because We call it the place where young people go to retire.”
Opinion
Sanchez: Kardashian-Jenner Family's Multiple Billion-Dollar Businesses Are Not Accidental
“You cannot build one billion dollar business by accident, not to mention the six or seven or however many that family has. That's fucking hard.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sanchez: Computers will be entirely re-engineered and look completely different
“I think they'll re-engineer the computer entirely. Like it won't even look like this.”
Disclosure
Sanchez uses real-time AI objection coaching to level up sales reps
“We take all the data from Avoma and actually feed it into something that in real time can give you feedback on these objections. And it sort of voice triggers based on what you say on the phone call. It's been a game changer, especially for, we had an underper…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sanchez: Three Austin groups made $10B to $50B on SpaceX
“So I mean, just here in Austin, we have like three groups that have made 10 to fifty billion dollars on that.”
Disclosure
Sanchez discloses that her net worth exceeds nine figures
“More than nine figures.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: The youngest female self-made billionaire came from prediction markets
“I was really upset when I saw the first, like, female young, or the youngest female self-billionaire was from Prediction Markets.”
Opinion
Sanchez: Gambling platforms and prediction markets provide zero net positive value
“Because it just seems bad for society. Like, no net positive.”
Insight
Codie Sanchez: Alienated Young Men Are a Precursor to Societal Revolt
“If we have an entire generation of angry, non-motivated left out of society young men, it doesn't end well for any society. That's usually the case for revolt.”