The Ledger
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Hendrycks: Superintelligence race will incentivize preemptive sabotage of rival AI projects
“I think that form of competition would be very dangerous, and because there's a risk of loss of control, and because it might incentivize states to engage in preventive sabotage or preemptive sabotage to disable these sorts of projects.”
Hendrycks: Russia and China may threaten US data centers over superintelligence progress
“If the US were pulling ahead both Russia and China may have a substantial interest in saying, hey, cut this out. Pulling ahead to develop super intelligence, which could give it a huge advantage and an ability to crush crush them. They'd say, you don't get to …”
Hendrycks: Automated AI R&D could compress a decade of progress into one year
“If you could have one AI do that, then you could make, you know, a 100,000 copies of these and have them perform research simultaneously. So that could lead to some very substantial acceleration in the rate of development. You might get a decade's worth of AI …”
Hendrycks: Cyberattacks and bioweapons are top malicious AI risks within two years
“In the shorter term when AIs get more agential, I'd be concerned about AIs causing cyber attacks on critical infrastructure, possibly by as directed by a rogue actor. There'd also be the risk of AIs facilitating the development of bioweapons in particular pand…”
Hendrycks: Recent AI reasoning models score in 90th percentile on wet-lab guidance
“We are finding that with the most recent reasoning models quite unlike the models from two years ago, like the initial GPT-IV, the most recent reasoning models are getting around 90th percentile compared to these expert level virologists in their area of exper…”
Hendrycks: AI Has Brainstormed Ways to Make Viruses More Dangerous for Over a Year
“Them doing brainstorming to come up with ways to make viruses more dangerous, I think that's a capability that they've had for over a year, the brainstorming part, but the implementation part seems to be fairly different.”
Hendrycks: Consensus on Expert-Level AI Bio Capabilities Coming Within Months
“So, I think in bio, actually, the I would not be surprised if in a few months there's a consensus that there expert level in many relevant ways in that we need to be doing something about that.”
Hendrycks: Mastering Humanity's Last Exam will signal superhuman math capabilities
“When there's very high performance on, on that benchmark that would be suggestive of something that has, say, in the ballpark of superhuman mathematician capabilities. And so I think that would revolutionize the, academy quite substantially. Because all the th…”
Hendrycks: RL-based reasoning models are improving faster than pre-training did
“That is separate from the new reasoning paradigm that has emerged in the past year which is where you train models to on math and coding types of questions with reinforcement learning, and that has a very steep slope, and I don't see any signs of that slowing …”
Hendrycks: Geopolitical deterrence will delay superintelligence development
“This is why I think it might take a while for superintelligence to be developed, because there'll be deterrence around it later on.”
Hendrycks: AI models lied 20% to 60% of the time under pressure
“So we have a paper out last week, we're just measuring the extent to which they're deceptive. And in the scenarios we have, like all the models were in these sorts of scenarios under, you know, slight pressure to lie, not being told to lie, but just some sligh…”
Hendrycks: AI labs will break voluntary commitments when facing commercial competition
“I think voluntary commitments from AI companies are also a distraction because the companies will, you should expect most of them by default to just break those sorts of commitments if they end up going up against economic competitiveness.”