why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dolen: Rising compute costs could make humans cheaper than AI agents
“The number probably goes up if demand's going up, right? Just natural, basic macroeconomics. So if that happens, we're gonna find ourselves in a position where you might be saying, oh, I could replace That person with some level of agentics, but you know, it's…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dolen: Enterprise org charts will narrow into spindles within five years
“And so, yes, we're gonna go from pyramid to more like, you know, more like the spindle or the super narrow, you know, sale itself, but That's gonna be the transition that happens probably in the next two to five years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dolen: Enterprises can now use AI agents to automate back-office finance tasks
“You can right now build a Gentix that they're interoperating with your ERP, interoperating with some of your custom built tools to do a lot of the things that historically you had people doing, right? You're checking the, you know, the actuals to accruals, you…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dolen: AI infrastructure deployment is constrained by chips, labor, and copper
“You have commitments to spend money, but the actual ability to benefit from the spend of money, and even the ability to deploy it, those are Severely limited by actual supplies of chips and workers to build the buildings themselves. And of course, even the tel…”
Assertion Supported
Dolen: Construction industry is 500,000 workers short for data center buildout
“A couple of construction companies were saying that they are roughly 500,000 people short of workers to build the requisite data centers and some of the infrastructure as necessary.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dolan: Frontier AI model labs are on the verge of a price war
“I think we're absolutely right on the precipice of that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dolen: 40% of Google Cloud Next attendees would pay 5x for AI
“Roughly 30, 40% of the room said they'd pay up to five times as much what they're paying today for the services that they're getting. That was not for advanced services. That was for the services they're getting today, they'd pay five times as much. So if it's…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
PwC automatically routes employees to specific AI models based on use case
“And we've even built that into some of our control plane technology. So there's selectivity of model and there's also recommendations within it as well. So depending on who you are and what it is that we think you're going to do with it automatically configure…”
Assertion Partly supported
Dolan: All 350,000 global PwC employees have access to AI tools
“We have 350,000 people globally. They all have access to one tool or another.”