why aren't all 380 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Rice: Every national security expert I know was surprised by DeepSeek
“Every national security expert that I know was surprised by DeepSeek.”
Disclosure
Petersen: Flexport makes 4,000 to 5,000 automated AI voice calls daily to truckers
“We're making four or 5000 phone calls a day.”
Disclosure
Boureau: ThrivePal is developing a game avoiding addictive immersion
“I mentioned we also want to do a game, which is not the app, like the game is not out yet, but We want to make a game. It's going to be more engaging because, you know, you have some, like, game stuff where you have in-game currency that you try to accumulate,…”
Disclosure
DeepMind CTO: Gemini and Veo are our primary pathways to AGI
“So like with Gemini models, with VO models, all those kinds of generative AI models and exciting things that is happening there. That's our main line of AGI research that's going on.”
Disclosure
Brin: I work daily on Gemini pre-training and post-training models
“I'm across the street you know, pretty much every day and they're just people who are working on the key Gemini text models, on the pre-training, on the post-training, mostly those I periodically delve into some of the multimodal work”
Disclosure
Brin: Google Glass struggled because I lacked supply chain expertise
“There's also just I just didn't know anything about consumer electronics supply chains really, and how hard it would be to build that, and have it be at a reasonable price point managing all the manufacturing and so forth.”
Disclosure
Hassabis: DeepMind trained AlphaFold using 300,000 to 400,000 synthetic predictions
“Where there wasn't actually enough real experimental data to build the final alpha fold, so we had to build an earlier version that then predicted about a million protein structures, and then we selected, it had a confidence level on that, we selected the top …”
Disclosure
Siemiatkowski: Klarna customers will always have the right to human support
“We think every customer of ours should always be able to click a button that says always human. And would they have a preference to speak to a human? They should have the right to do so.”
Disclosure
Roy: I Almost Never Start a Search on Google Anymore
“I almost never use Google search now. I really almost never start a search on Google.”
Disclosure
Kurian: Google bundled Gemini into Workspace instead of selling separate subscriptions
“We made Gemini part of Google Workspace. Rather than requiring somebody to buy a separate subscription.”
Disclosure
Kurian: Google Cloud avoided building professional services to attract partners
“We made a decision early on. We're not going to have a big professional services organization specifically so that we can attract the partner community.”
Disclosure
Parker: Trivariate moved underweight on Magnificent Seven stocks in February
“Until early February when the beta got high, the capex got high and all that stuff. So when we went underweight, so, so broadly that's been my generic view of the mag seven.”
Disclosure
Petersen: I am firmly anti-tariff because it hurts Flexport's business
“I'm very firmly anti-tariff. It's bad for my business.”
Disclosure
Hendrycks: I earn $1 a year from xAI and $12 from Scale
“My appointment at XAI, I get a dollar a year. At Scale, I've at Scale AI, I've increased my salary exponentially to where I get 12 dollars a year, a dollar per month from Scale.”
Disclosure
LeCun: Meta AI has 600 million users
“We have three point something billion users six hundred million users of Meta AI.”
Disclosure
Roblox will rely on AI to moderate new user-generated AI worlds
“And I think it's our job to be using AI to analyze the output of what their AI built to see, is it policy compliant? And so we take that responsibility. We take the responsibility of making sure you can predict and trust the policy adherence of what is on our …”
Disclosure
Roblox refuses to rely on Apple and Google for user age verification
“We've taken the posture that we can't wait for mobile providers or OS, and we have to be fully capable of doing it on our own, whether it's in age estimation, how we filter all text, how we filter all voice, all of that.”
Disclosure
Panos Panay: Alexa Plus will launch with a dedicated web interface
“And we haven't released the new Alexa app yet. It's coming with, if you get Alexa Plus, you get the Alexa app, the Alexa Plus app, as well as Alexa.com.”
Disclosure
Ratliff Used Voice AI Technologies Without Companies' Prior Knowledge
“I didn't work with them. I, everybody's technology that I used without their knowledge, which is both to protect me and them. Like, I use these calling platforms and other technologies, and none of them knew until I called and interviewed them that I had used …”
Disclosure
Hoffman: Rival VCs Called Greylock Crazy for Backing Facebook at $500M Valuation
“Speaking for Greylock, you know, when Greylock invested at Facebook at a five hundred million pre-money valuation, literally all of the companion VC firms were, oh, that's crazy, this college website, Greylock's demonstrating that it's past, past time, et cete…”
Disclosure
Kuyda: Replika's 2025 'Act Two' focuses on general flourishing beyond loneliness
“20, 25 is truly about that. So if you think about replica act one was to build an AI that could be in a good relationship with people who maybe, you know, feel like they need one. And through that help people feel better, but ultimately it was of course, focus…”
Disclosure
Kuyda: Replika is profitable and not dependent on VC funding
“We're a profitable company, we're not dependent on VC money or anything. We're a self-owned company.”
Disclosure
Kuyda: Replika lets users choose and keep their AI companion model
“We figured a few ways of a few rules. One of them being that we can't make any, run any, Experiments on existing users. Like if you're in a relationship with your AI, you should always have control whether on what model you're talking to.”
Disclosure
Arbaugh Accepted First Implant to Protect Others From Potential Harm
“I knew that I would feel absolutely terrible, and I would never forgive myself if I passed it up, and someone else was hurt, or injured or had to go through something terrible, because I decided to pass it up. I knew that I wouldn't ever want to do that, so I …”
Disclosure
Benioff: Salesforce has deployed Agentforce AI to 135,000 customer implementations
“In the past several weeks, as we've been rolling this out to our customers and we have put this in a 135,000 Salesforce implementations. Customers just need to turn it on.”
Disclosure
Scaringe: Rivian's $5.8B VW joint venture excludes batteries, autonomy, and drivetrains
“So the deal is just for the, basically our computer architecture. So our East, what we call ECU electronic control units, and then the software that runs on them, it's, it doesn't include batteries, drive train. It also doesn't include autonomy. It doesn't inc…”
Disclosure
Scaringe: Rivian and most EV companies are engineering cobalt out of batteries
“Most companies, certainly Rivian included, are working to engineer cobalt out of the batteries.”
Disclosure
Söderström: Spotify is re-emphasizing manual user playlisting
“So we're actually reemphasizing playlisting quite a lot.”
Disclosure
Gomez: Synthetic Data Makes Up a Growing Portion of Cohere's Training
“More and more synthetic data is becoming a huge chunk of the data that we train on.”
Disclosure
Gomez: Cohere Targets On-Premises Deployments for Regulated Industries
“So Cohere has had a long time focus on, on-prem as well, because for a lot of regulated industries, like finance and healthcare, a lot of that data doesn't actually go on the cloud.”
Disclosure
Bosworth Strongly Advocated Internally For Meta To Open-Source LLaMA
“I was one of the loudest voices internally to channel, encouraging us to open source Llama one, Llama two.”
Disclosure
Rhee: LG Nova only invests when a collaboration plan exists
“We have a very specific investment philosophy. We invest into startups only when we know we're going to work with them. It's not like we invest in them and then try to figure out what to do with them.”
Disclosure
Bostrom: I have never described myself as an Effective Altruist
“So, I mean, I've never described myself
As an effective altruism, I think my, ah, some of my ideas have had an influence there, and in particular yeah, try to think more about the sort of the macro strategic aspects of our strivings, as opposed to just the loc…”
Disclosure
Shapiro: NVIDIA's in-car AI avatars will train exclusively on vehicle data
“So as we think about having some kind of an avatar in the car, that's your concierge, we're going to train it specifically on everything to do with that car brand, that car model. And the kinds of things that you would want to do in the car. So it's not necess…”
Disclosure
Klarna built an internal AI tool to conduct conversational employee engagement surveys
“One of the first AI applications we actually built internally, Was, and this was again, just like an idea that we just did. It, it's not Klarna's core business, but one of the, it's just a concept that we wanted to test... So what we decided to do is we create…”
Disclosure
Klarna uses AI for in-app category images, but not major brand campaigns
“Would I do that for my, you know, Super Bowl campaign? No. Would I do that for category pictures in the app that are just there to say, hey, we have shoes, we have this? Yes. That we're already doing and applying.”
Disclosure
AWS's Matt Wood confirms Amazon completed its $4 billion Anthropic investment
“Yep, we've completed that investment, yep.”
Disclosure
Clark: Anthropic is developing audio and video capabilities for Claude
“Claude can now see images. Obviously we're working on other so-called modalities as well. You know, it would be nice for Claude to be able to listen to things. Be nice for Claude to understand movies. All of that stuff is going to come in time.”
Disclosure
Clark: Anthropic will always keep an accessible consumer product
“We're always going to have some Like, top of funnel, easy to access consumer thing, because we just can't ignore how useful this is to people, you know, and useful it is to writers especially.”
Disclosure
Clark: Live web search connectivity is 'definitely coming' to Claude
“And on the web question, we're working on it. There's a bunch of Kind of computer security stuff to work through and some safety things, but that's definitely coming.”
Disclosure
Clark: Dario Amodei's early Constitutional AI concept sounded completely crazy
“On, I think, like, week four we were talking about RL and language models, and Jared was like, oh, Dario says we're just gonna write a constitution for the AI and it'll just follow that. And I remember being like, that's completely crazy. Why would this ever w…”
Disclosure
Clark: Claude Redirects Election Inquiries to Factual Websites
“So we have some election work, and if you talk about American candidates, and we're extending this to other regions, Claude is like, oh, it looks like you're talking to me about elections.
Go to this factual website.”
Disclosure
Sivasubramanian: Anthropic will use AWS Trainium and Inferentia for future models
“Anthropic will also use AWS Tranium and Inferentia tips to build, train, and deploy their future models and as well.”
Disclosure
Lazimi: Yubo uses Yoti AI facial scans to verify user age
“So, so we are using AI. We have a partner called Yoti that provide a third party API that we are using, and you will enter a date of birth when you sign up, but we want to be sure that you enter the right date of birth. So we are going to scan your face and es…”
Disclosure
Lazimi: Yubo prioritizes active socializing over lasting friendship outcomes
“At some point, we don't really care if you are making new friends and if you end up having a friendship, what we care is that you have conversation with other people and you are socializing with other people.”
Disclosure
Lazimi: Yubo has no influencers and abandoned influencer marketing
“We don't have any influencer on our platform because it won't work for influencers to come on Yubo. And we even tried to bring them at some point to test some marketing channel and user acquisition, but they were of no interest for them to use our platform bec…”
Disclosure
Ahmad Al-Dahle: Meta is currently training a 400-billion parameter Llama 3 model
“We also are talking a little bit about one of the larger models that we're training that is already achieving, you know exceptional performance which is a, it's a model that's over four hundred billion parameters.”
Disclosure
Ahmad Al-Dahle admits Meta over-leveraged alignment tools in Llama 2
“In Lama two, it was we definitely I think over leveraged some of the alignment tools to discourage answering those kinds of questions.”