why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: xAI rented Colossus 1 compute cluster to Anthropic
“You just rented your AI warehouse Colossus One to Anthropic.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Sam Altman is attempting to broker Pentagon-Anthropic peace deal
“Some of the other frontier AI labs like XAI and OpenAI are already now willing to work on the classified side, and you know, Sam Altman is attempting to broker a piece, essentially, and create a deal that perhaps Anthropik could join as well.”
Prediction Held up
Siegler: xAI and SpaceX merger sounds likely and may be announced this week
“If they really do merge with SpaceX, which it does sound like now, is gonna happen, and may even be announced this week, which is insane how fast that that came together, if it comes together in that way.”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Grok 4 beats all models on ARC-AGI by significant margin
“And then of course in the Arc AGI test, it outperforms Every model by a significant margin.”
Assertion Supported
Hanna says xAI uses methane generators to power its Memphis supercomputer
“I would also say that speaking about existing effects, there's also a lot of reporting coming out of Memphis right now, especially around the methane generators that XAI has been using to power a particular supercomputer there called Colossus there, and specif…”
Assertion Supported
Grok's system prompt suffered an unauthorized change on May 14, xAI says
“It was on May 14th at approximately 3:15 a.m. Pacific Standard Time, an unauthorized modification was made to the Grok response. Bots prompt on X.”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: X data is definitely being used to train xAI models
“All your X data was going to be used to train these models anyway, and now it definitely is, and there's no getting away from it.”