why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Meta AI leaders discussed temporarily licensing Google Gemini for their products
“The leaders of Meta's AI division Have instead discussed temporarily licensing Gemini to power the company's AI product.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Medium Loses 100 Google Clicks for Every One Click From Google Gemini
“I would estimate that we lose about a hundred clicks from traditional Google search for every one click we get back from a Gemini summary.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Medium's Google Search Click-Through Rate Dropped by Half After Gemini's Launch
“The click-through rate when Gemini launched dropped nearly in half.”
Opinion
Siegler: Apple's plan to power Siri with Gemini and third-party models is right
“They have obviously the deal in place with Google to use Gemini and Gemini is going to underpin
You know, the Siri models and now the new reports that they're going to allow other third parties potentially to come in there, including obviously they've already…”
Opinion
Siegler: Apple must replace Siri with an external large language model
“They've got to replace Siri with something else, whether it be ChatGPT, or Claude, or Google Gemini, or one of the other products, because this is just really table stakes stuff that they should, you know, they've been working on Siri for 15 plus years”
Assertion Supported
Roy: Google Gemini reached 22% of consumer AI usage
“Like, Gemini is now at 22% of consumer AI usage, up from 13 and a half just a quarter ago, which was their code red.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple Leans Toward Google Gemini for Siri Summarizer and Planner
“Apple has been leaning towards using a custom built Google Gemini model for the summarizer. And it's also considering using a Google model for the planner function as well.”
Prediction Held up
Tytunovich: AI agent pricing will commoditize to free or modest tiers
“There's a hundred percent chance, and OpenAI already said it, and the same is going to go with Google Gemini and Chrome, their browser, and many others. It's going to be commoditized in terms of pricing. It's going to be either free or costing a modest price, …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Gemini Deal Buys Apple Time to Gradually Swap In In-House AI Models
“I do think that they'll continue to work on their own models internally, and then, you know, they can, but this Gemini potential partnership allows them, buys them a lot of time to basically be able to swap in their models, and they don't have to do it in even…”