The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Roy: Meta capex figures exclude $46B in Hyperion SPV debt exposure
“Meta recorded 88.6 billion in capital expenditures, but that doesn't include the Hyperion SPV, which had its own forty six billion dollars of exposure.”
Ranjan Roy Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 31:58 What Happens If AI Fails?, Subprime Data Center Crisis, How Bad Can SpaceX Get?
Assertion Contradicted
Haugen: Meta increased safety spending two to three times post-leak
“We've seen them having to increase the amount they spend on safety by two to three times, which is huge compared to the past times they've increased safety.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 4:48 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Siegler: Meta will announce its superintelligence model 'Avocado' within weeks
“We're probably a few weeks away, maybe less from whatever they're going to, you know, announce in terms of coming out of their new AGS super intelligence efforts, their avocado model.”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 32:06 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Assertion Contradicted
StumbleUpon drove more publisher web traffic than Facebook did in 2012
“When you and I first started working together, you know, stumble upon was the thing driving the most traffic, not Facebook for most publishers.”
Ryan Broderick Jan 9, 2025 ▶ 16:32 Why The Costco Guys And Hawk Tuah Took Over The Internet
Assertion Contradicted
Haugen: Meta stock fell substantially more than social media peers
“But it's fallen substantially more than the other social media companies.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 3:25 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
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