The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Oracle Lost Nearly $100 Million Renting Nvidia Blackwell Chips in Three Months
“In the three months that ended in August, Oracle lost nearly a hundred million from the rentals of NVIDIA's Blackwell chips.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 35:28 AGI or Bust, OpenAI’s $1 Trillion Gamble, Apple’s Next CEO?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ives: Asian supply checks show 15-to-1 demand for NVIDIA Blackwell
“In Asia, we just, it was 15 to one demand to supply. Four months ago, it was 12 to one.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 35:10 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Assertion Supported
Josh Brown: Nvidia stated Blackwell chips are sold out for 12 months
“They just told us they sold out of Blackwell chips for 12 months.”
Josh Brown Oct 16, 2024 ▶ 1:07:46 Fear Buying AI & Automation Stocks — With Downtown Josh Brown
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hoffman: Nvidia Blackwell Delays Would Slow AI Development But Not Stop It
“If they can't get their year olds up and produce it, that will be a, you know, concerning thing for NVIDIA and will slow down some of, you know, kind of AI's development because the faster chips in a dense environment is actually, in fact, instrumental and hel…”
Reid Hoffman Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 26:43 Reid Hoffman: Why The AI Investment Will Pay Off
Assertion Supported
Garman: Nvidia Blackwell delivers about 2.5x compute performance of H100
“I think we were expecting about two and a half times the compute performance out of the Blackwell chip that you get out of an H-one hundred”
Matt Garman Dec 5, 2024 ▶ 18:02 AWS CEO Matt Garman on Amazon's Big AI Chips Bet, Working With OpenAI, and Nuclear Energy
Disclosure
Garman: AWS to launch Blackwell-based EC2 P6 instances in early 2025
“We're going to announce that the P six, which is the Blackwell based instance that's coming early next year.”
Matt Garman Dec 5, 2024 ▶ 17:54 AWS CEO Matt Garman on Amazon's Big AI Chips Bet, Working With OpenAI, and Nuclear Energy
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