why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Siegler: Apple Made the Right Bet Partnering on Search Over Building Bing
“Apple decided they didn't need to build a search engine, and that's worked out great for them, right?
Microsoft famously has spent billions and billions building up Bing, and what have they gotten out of it?
I mean, it makes money now, but it's not Google, and…”
What-if
Siegler: Microsoft missed its chance to turn Bing into ChatGPT
“It was a huge missed opportunity. They could have made being a real potential competitor to Google and In some ways they, you know, they were probably too early, I'm sure. And they stubbed their toe and they pulled back... But still they were there and they co…”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: ChatGPT hit 3.7B monthly visits in late 2024, dusting Bing
“Bing had 1.5 billion per month in February, 20, 24. It had all of 1.85 billion per month in October, 20, 24. You look at ChatGPT starts with 1.6 billion and now it has 3.7 billion per month. So it's left Bing in the dust. And by God, I mean, the rest that you …”
Opinion
Ramaswamy: Google's competitive position improved by mid-2023 due to Bing's slow progress
“There's now a pretty credible integration into a regular search. And Bard is getting better by the day. And this combined with the fact that you know, Sydney, Bing's chatbot has not made as much progress. I would say actually puts them in a better position in …”
Opinion
Lemoine: Bing Chat deserves more credibility than ChatGPT due to search grounding
“You would give Bing ChatGPT more credulity than something like ChatGPT since it's at least grounded in Bing search results, and it can have some kinds of citations of what it's saying.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Microsoft processes 50 million health-related queries daily across Copilot and Bing
“We have fifty million queries a day. That are health related, and they can range from anything from, you know a cancer issue that someone's dealing with, to a death in a family, to a mental health issue, to just having a skin rash”
Prediction Held up
Lanzone: All major search engines will route queries between AI and links
“This is clearly whether it's Bing,
Or ChatGPT standalone or perplexity standalone with hitting all the databases they're hitting or now Apple and Google and how they're going to do it. They're all going to be doing that the same way. And so for some queries, i…”
Assertion Supported
Nemade: Bing gained only about 1% market share post-ChatGPT
“Bing maybe gained, like, one percent market share before and after ChatGPT.”