The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

1held up → 0didn’t hold up → 0partly held up →
100%of resolved predictions held up
Everyone Alex Kantrowitz (38)M.G. Siegler (14)Ranjan Roy (6)Mustafa Suleyman (5)Aaron Levie (5)Yann LeCun (3)Tom Eggemeier (3)Stephen Morris (3)Peter Diamandis (3)Noland Arbaugh (3)Matthew Prince (3)Geoffrey Hinton (3)
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The record (1) every resolved claim →

Prediction Held up
Diamandis: Elon Musk will become the world's first trillionaire
“Elon will be the first trillionaire out there.”
Peter Diamandis Jul 29, 2024 ▶ 24:55 Peter Diamandis — Embracing AI, Befriending Elon, And Living Forever
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