smartphone

also referred to as: smartphones

10 statements across 8 episodes · 4 bullish · 4 bearish · 7 people on the record · first statement Oct 4, 2024 by Andrew Bosworth · across every show →

Everything said about smartphone, oldest first

Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bosworth: Smart glasses will offer proactive assistance smartphones cannot match
“Because the glasses are on your face, they're not in your pocket, and they have the ability over time, not immediately, to become aware of the world and to understand what you're trying to do in the world they can actually be very proactively helpful just to y…”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 7:53 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bosworth: AR will conceivably replace smartphones for high-end consumers over time
“We're a long ways from that for a bunch of reasons, not the least of which being the technology is not ready yet, but also because The application ecosystems will take a long time to transfer and user behaviors take a long time to change. So I think we have a …”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 22:32 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Dec 26, 2024 negative
Opinion
Novick: Phones have no legitimate educational purpose or necessity in schools
“There's no need for them. There's nothing good that comes of it, and Ginja's, all of Ginja's reasons for it being bad, but no, I mean, what do students need a phone? They're in a place where there's adult supervision, and there are wired phones. If God forbid …”
Dr. Rona Novick Dec 26, 2024 ▶ 47:28 What's the Right Amount of Tech to Give Kids?: A Psychologist and Parent Weigh In
Mar 5, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Panos Panay: Ambient smart devices will not replace the smartphone
“I don't think it replaces the centerpiece of the phone. I think it just adds value to your life in a very different way.”
Panos Panay Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 28:31 How Amazon Rebuilt Alexa From The Ground Up
May 27, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Looking at phone screens will feel like indoor smoking in 15 years
“And my belief is, 10 to 15 years from now, when people see, like, videos of people walking around the streets looking down at their phone, it's gonna be like when you see people smoking cigarettes in a restaurant.”
Ranjan Roy May 27, 2025 ▶ 13:26 OpenAI's Jony Ive Moment, Anthropic's Big New Model, Google In AI Mode
Sep 16, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ranjan Roy predicts staring at smartphones will become like smoking on airplanes
“20 years from now, people are going to look back at like videos of people walking around, looking at their phones, and it's going to look like smoking cigarettes in an airplane. Like, you're just going to be like, I cannot believe people actually did that. And…”
Ranjan Roy Sep 16, 2025 ▶ 21:05 Do We Care About The iPhone Air?, Nepal's Discord Revolution, San Francisco’s 996 Culture
Oct 6, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2035
Siegler: Smart glasses will not replace smartphones within 5 to 10 years
“It also doesn't sound like the type of thing that's, you know, people are going to leave their smartphones behind anytime in the next five to 10 years.”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 48:08 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Himel: Wearables will become ubiquitous without completely replacing smartphones
“At some point, we think that they'll be ubiquitously used by people providing a ton of value. That doesn't mean phones are gonna go away, but I think you'll see wearables be used for some of the things that you do on phones today. And a bunch of things that yo…”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 43:35 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jul 7, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kutylowski: The best current smartphones can only run extremely small AI models
“Even, even, even the best phones that we have right now are, can only run extremely small models at this point in time.”
Jarek Kutylowski Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 30:40 Why Specialized AI Models Are Challenging the Frontier Labs — With DeepL CEO Jarek Kutylowski
Jul 7, 2026 positive
Opinion
Kutylowski: Existing phones and earbuds already suffice for real-time AI translation
“I'm a big advocate of the fact that for like real time translation, we actually have all of the devices that we need, like the airports that we have, like the phone that we have that actually suffices for that.”
Jarek Kutylowski Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 30:04 Why Specialized AI Models Are Challenging the Frontier Labs — With DeepL CEO Jarek Kutylowski
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