DeepSeek

also referred to as: deep seek · deep seeks

includes DeepSeek R1, DeepSeek V3, DeepSeek R One

46 statements across 25 episodes · 20 bullish · 10 bearish · 19 people on the record · first statement Dec 11, 2024 by Alexandr Wang · said 310 times in 59 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Alex Kantrowitz (209), Ranjan Roy (23), Grace Shao (21), M.G. Siegler (17), Dwarkesh Patel (4), Reed Albergotti (3), Dylan Patel (3), Condoleezza Rice (3)

tap a year for its mentions
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02040202420252026episodes it came up in
00420840202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 66 mentions in 21 episodes 3 per episode
2025 241 mentions in 36 episodes 7 per episode
2024 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about DeepSeek, oldest first

Dec 11, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Wang: China's DeepSeek produced the first replication of OpenAI's o1 model
“OpenAI released O-one and released the O-one preview a number of months ago... Yeah, this is OpenAI's advanced reasoning model, which is great at sort of scientific reasoning and mathematical reasoning and reasoning and code, et cetera. And the very first repl…”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 13:21 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Jan 23, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Demis Hassabis says Western frontier AI models remain ahead of China
“It's for sure, it's impressive what they've been able to do. And you know, I think that's something we're going to have to think about how to keep the western frontier models in, in the lead. I think they still are at the moment, but you know, for sure China's…”
Demis Hassabis Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 52:56 Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis: The Path To AGI, Deceptive AIs, Building a Virtual Cell
Jan 27, 2025 positive
Opinion
Meta is better positioned for open-source AI disruption than peers
“Meta's probably in a bit better position than the other ones, just because they, at the end of the day, they do want, like, you know, their whole philosophy is to open source this, not for necessarily altruistic reasons, but because they know that it's histori…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 25:50 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Jan 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
DeepSeek used model distillation to match OpenAI's o1 at lower cost
“And, you know, they've just used the process of distillation to, you know, effectively bring those bigger versions of the sort of state-of-the-art models and distill them down into you know, smaller models, which eventually led to this R-one, you know, the equ…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 12:00 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Jan 27, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Tech stocks plunged in pre-market trading after DeepSeek R1's release
“NVIDIA down 10%, Microsoft down four percent. Google down three percent meta down 2.6% SMP down two percent. So this is all based off of this deep seek reckoning or this deep seek realization.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 21:50 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Jan 27, 2025 neutral
Insight
U.S. chip restrictions forced Chinese AI innovation through compute scarcity
“The constraints that were put in place by the US because of the, you know, everything going on with chip constraints and sort of forcing AI companies not to export to China you know, led to sort of this very interesting cauldron that I think could only happen …”
M.G. Siegler Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 9:57 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Jan 29, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hoffman: China will produce multiple strong contenders in global AI
“China and multiple companies within it, because, you know, I haven't evaluated yet. Minimax, which also just came out recently, but will have a number of very strong contenders for this in the world technology landscape.”
Reid Hoffman Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 22:27 Reid Hoffman: Why The AI Investment Will Pay Off
Feb 5, 2025 positive
Opinion
Lebaredian: DeepSeek efficiency gains fit NVIDIA's decade-long progress curve
“So what we've seen here with DeepSeq is, is a great advancement that's on that same curve that we've been on for a decade now.”
Rev Lebaredian Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 5:51 NVIDIA VP Rev Lebaredian Talks Plan To Build AI That Understands The Real World
Feb 7, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Open-source models are poised to surpass proprietary AI labs
“It put the whole proprietary model industry, the OpenAI's and the anthropics of the world On their back feet, understanding that they are about to be passed by open source, and they have to embrace it.”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 15:07 Boom Times For ChatGPT, OpenAI’s Deep Research, AI Super Bowl
Feb 7, 2025 positive
Insight
Roy: Displaying AI chain-of-thought reasoning drives user attachment and trust
“Deep Seek brought this to the general population, and it's brilliant because it makes people even more attached to these type of tools. Like, it makes them really think that there's thinking, which makes them more usable.”
Ranjan Roy Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 20:35 Boom Times For ChatGPT, OpenAI’s Deep Research, AI Super Bowl
Feb 7, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: DeepSeek overnight captured one-third of ChatGPT's daily traffic
“You see last week, so January, 28th, chat GPT at 139.3 web and mobile visits. Deep seek at 49 million. So it cut About, like, further than any other company has been able to cut into the lead of OpenAI, and it had about a third of the traffic that ChatGPT took…”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 9:23 Boom Times For ChatGPT, OpenAI’s Deep Research, AI Super Bowl
Feb 19, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Enjeti: DeepSeek Model Cost Over $1 Billion to Train
“This idea that it's six million dollars or whatever to run is ludicrous. It obviously cost over a billion dollars to train the model before it eventually got to the point where it could run off of that six million.”
Saagar Enjeti Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 32:10 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Apr 2, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: SimilarWeb Data Shows Gemini at 10.9M and DeepSeek at 16.5M Daily Visits
“Google's Gemini web traffic grew to 10.9 million average daily visits worldwide in March. That's up seven, four, 7.4% month over month, while daily visits to Copilot, that's Microsoft's bot, Increased to 2.4 million, up 2.1% from February. SimilarWeb also says…”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 2, 2025 ▶ 19:44 OpenAI Raises $40 billion, Is AI a Letdown?, Musk Sells X to xAI
Apr 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Shao: US LLMs decisively led China until DeepSeek breakthrough
“In terms of frontier models, the U S companies, like you mentioned, the open eyes and the tropics of the world have definitely led China's LLM development by far for a long time until deep sea made a breakthrough.”
Grace Shao Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 17:54 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 16, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Shao: Manus AI agent is not a foundational DeepSeek moment
“I don't think it's a deep seek moment for China. Because I think it did not fundamentally change how we Believe AI is being developed, right? Like in the sense that Deepsea completely challenged the scaling law and what we believed in more capital is better tr…”
Grace Shao Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 57:45 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 16, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Nearly 100 Chinese hospitals announce plans to adopt DeepSeek
“Nearly, nearly 100 hospitals around China have announced they will adopt DeepSeq in their operations.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 27:00 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: 20 Chinese automakers announce plans to integrate DeepSeek models
“20 Chinese automobile brands have announced plans to embed deep seek models.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 26:03 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 16, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Shao: DeepSeek on WeChat was 'game over' for ByteDance's Doubao
“Once Tencent integrated Deepseek into their WeChat product, it was like game over for them.”
Grace Shao Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 15:44 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 16, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Shao: Tencent was first to integrate DeepSeek into WeChat
“What's interesting is I do want to point out is Tencent actually has not really been leading in their LLM development at all. In fact, they're the only and first one that have actually integrated Deep Seek into their products into their WeChat, which obviously…”
Grace Shao Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 12:46 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 16, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: China's top 5 smartphone makers adopt DeepSeek in updates
“China's top five smartphone sellers, I think you mentioned this, have all adopted DeepSeek in their system updates.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 26:23 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 16, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Shao: DeepSeek CEO Liang Wenfeng and his team were educated in China
“Liang Wenfeng, the CEO of DeepSeek and his whole team, they're actually educated in China.”
Grace Shao Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 1:56 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Patel: Model inference costs dropped 60x from GPT-4 to DeepSeek-V3
“And likewise, when we look at from GPT-IV to DeepSeq VIII it's fallen roughly 600 X in cost. Right. So we're not quite at that 1200 X, but it has fallen 600 X in cost from 60 dollars to less than you know, to about a dollar. Right. Or to less than a dollar. So…”
Dylan Patel Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 29:14 Generative AI 101: Tokens, Pre-training, Fine-tuning, Reasoning — With SemiAnalysis CEO Dylan Patel
Jun 3, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: There will be more breakthroughs like DeepSeek in AI
“There will be more deep seeks. And I think I feel very confident in saying that.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 25:22 Mass AI-Driven Unemployment, NVIDIA Surges, CEOs' AI Avatars Unleashed
Jun 3, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Attention on Meta's Llama has dropped amid DeepSeek's surge
“As deep sea continues to surge, the conversation around Meta's llama models has certainly fallen off in a big way.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 26:53 Mass AI-Driven Unemployment, NVIDIA Surges, CEOs' AI Avatars Unleashed
Jun 3, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Increased competition will commoditize the AI model layer
“I still believe that overall increased competition will see a commoditization at the model layer.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 25:41 Mass AI-Driven Unemployment, NVIDIA Surges, CEOs' AI Avatars Unleashed
Jun 18, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Patel: GPT-4-Level Training Costs Have Dropped 10x to 100x
“If you look at what it costs to train GBT for originally, I think it was like 20,008, 100 over the course of a hundred days. So I think it costs on the order of like half a million to a hundred million dollars, somewhere in that range. And I think you could tr…”
Dwarkesh Patel Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 22:46 Dwarkesh Patel: AI Continuous Improvement, Intelligence Explosion, Memory, Frontier Lab Competition
Jul 16, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Rice: Every national security expert I know was surprised by DeepSeek
“Every national security expert that I know was surprised by DeepSeek.”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 4:24 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 16, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Rice: No AI specialist or computer scientist I know was surprised by DeepSeek
“Not a single, ah, AI specialist, computer scientist that I know, Was surprised by DeepSeek.”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 4:15 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 30, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Amodei: Open-source is a red herring; DeepSeek's open status didn't matter
“I've actually always seen it as a red herring. When I see it, when I see a new model come out, I don't care whether it's open source or not. Like if we talk about Deep Seek, I don't think it mattered that Deep Seek is open source. I think I ask, is it a good m…”
Dario Amodei Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 39:12 Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei: AI's Potential, OpenAI Rivalry, GenAI Business, Doomerism
Aug 11, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Masad: AI Frontier Labs Are Becoming Architecturally More Efficient
“And what we're seeing based on speed and things like that, it's actually probably the models are getting more efficient. I mean, Deep Seek showed that the models are getting more efficient, and if, you know, Deep Seek open source was able to make it, you bette…”
Amjad Masad Aug 11, 2025 ▶ 39:00 Vibe Coding: Everything You Need To Know — With Amjad Masad
Sep 23, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Costica: DeepSeek's database leak was a typical cloud exposure, not an exotic exploit
“It was a very, ah, what I would say, typical exposure that exposed a lot of sensitive data, but yet, ah, if we look historically, there were similar incidents, for instance, with Microsoft releasing a token that had access to sensitive data in, you know, a buc…”
Yinon Costica Sep 23, 2025 ▶ 44:22 Is Generative AI a Cybersecurity Disaster Waiting to Happen? — With Yinon Costica
Sep 23, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Costica: Almost 10% of organizations adopted DeepSeek within one week
“Within a week, almost 10% of organizations were using DeepSeq.”
Yinon Costica Sep 23, 2025 ▶ 41:25 Is Generative AI a Cybersecurity Disaster Waiting to Happen? — With Yinon Costica
Dec 18, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: Google's Gemini 3 Exposed OpenAI Weaknesses But Failed to Hinder Growth
“Gemini three has not, or at least has not so far had the impact we were worried it might, but it did in the same way that deep seek did identify some weaknesses in our product offering and strategy.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 1:49 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Jan 16, 2026 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Mensch: DeepSeek built on Mistral's open-source MoE architecture
“Like we released the first Sparse mixture of experts back at the beginning of 2024, and they built on top, and they released deep seek free, and deep seek was built on top of that. Well, it was, it's the same architecture, and we released, like, everything tha…”
Arthur Mensch Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 36:59 Who Wins if AI Models Commoditize? — With Mistral CEO Arthur Mensch
Mar 16, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2031
Alex Kantrowitz: Governments cannot practically enforce bans on large language models
“They won't be banned. It's impossible. I mean, how can you ban them? Are you going to go and take your, is the government going to go grab your Mac mini out of your office where you've downloaded a version of deep seek and be like, all right, right to the poke…”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 26:32 AI Backlash Intensifies, Nvidia GTC Preview, Meta’s Embarrassing Delay
Apr 20, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: DeepSeek blocked Tiananmen Square queries until user modifications removed censorship
“What happened when you tried to search for Tiananmen Square in DeepSeek? It was blocked. Now people were able to modify deep seek and, you know, strip that out, but it was only after modification.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 20, 2026 ▶ 24:05 Jensen On The Ropes, Sam Altman’s Conflicts, Allbirds’ GPU Pivot
Jun 17, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
DeepSeek Is One Of Ramp's Fastest Growing Vendors Despite Low Share
“Last month, DeepSeq was one of the fastest growing vendors on ramp. And yet, it's still a very small share of AI spend that is actually going through those rails.”
Ara Kharazian Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 19:20 AI Fact or Fiction: The Fable Ban, Tokenmaxxing, Saaspocolypse — With Ara Kharazian
Jun 17, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
DeepSeek's Enterprise Growth Spike Unlikely To Withstand Rival Price Cuts
“Only about .4% of businesses are using it. Again, that's up from .1. So, Forex increase, but it's extremely small, and I think it's not going to be very durable, given that OpenAI and Anthropic are well positioned to respond to that with some price cuts.”
Ara Kharazian Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 35:39 AI Fact or Fiction: The Fable Ban, Tokenmaxxing, Saaspocolypse — With Ara Kharazian
Jun 22, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Roy: Due to cost, DeepSeek is discussed in every AI agent conversation
“The conversation around moving towards deep seek and adding it into your agentic process or adding Chinese models did not exist in any conversation I was in 12 months ago and now is in almost every conversation, at least as an option, because cost has become s…”
Ranjan Roy Jun 22, 2026 ▶ 29:36 Are AI Glasses Over? + Big Technology AI Summit Audience Questions
Jun 26, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ranjan Roy: DeepSeek and Chinese models are now in almost every agent conversation
“The conversation around moving towards deep seek and adding it into your agentic process or adding Chinese models did not exist in any conversation I was in 12 months ago and now is in almost every conversation, at least as an option, because cost has become s…”
Ranjan Roy Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 1:56:23 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
Jul 29, 2026 neutral
Insight
Shao: Compute Limits Force Chinese AI Labs Into Distinct Specializations
“What you've seen is a lot of these tiny labs faced with compute constraint and in some ways capital constraint, they're forcing them to specialize rather than compete across every dimension. So, you know, for the sake of, you know, deep seek, it's really, real…”
Grace Shao Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 3:42 How China Caught U.S. AI — With Grace Shao
Jul 29, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Shao: DeepSeek and Moonshot Founders Focus on AGI Over Consumer Apps
“I think both, you know, DeepSeek and Kimi, if not seen as kind of the top two labs right now coming out of China, both founders have openly talked a lot about management of people you know, removing distractions, really focused on the pursuit of AGI, not kind …”
Grace Shao Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 5:52 How China Caught U.S. AI — With Grace Shao
Jul 29, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Shao: Huawei and DeepSeek Are Collaborating Closely on Hardware Optimization
“Huawei is working very closely with deep seek on how to optimize hardware and software and try to figure out this.”
Grace Shao Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 46:32 How China Caught U.S. AI — With Grace Shao
Jul 29, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shao: Quant Hedge Fund Backing Allows DeepSeek to Ignore Immediate Profits
“On the China side, deep seeks people have talked about how they are not revenue driven. So whatever money they, sorry, they're not profit driven. So whatever revenue they make, they want to put that money into R&D, given that they have the quant fund kind of l…”
Grace Shao Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 19:30 How China Caught U.S. AI — With Grace Shao
Jul 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Shao: DeepSeek Lacks Capital Constraints and Pressure to Commercialize
“The fact that they don't actually have that much pressure to commercialize because they have enough money, he says, like, look, we have enough capital, we are not capital constraint compared to maybe other, other labs, and we are really, really focused on just…”
Grace Shao Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 7:22 How China Caught U.S. AI — With Grace Shao
Aug 12, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kedrosky: Minimal model differentiation will crush AI investment returns
“The convergence means that the model differences while there are so minimal as I can't tell the difference in the kind of Pepsi Coke phenomenon, which again, to cut to the investment chase suggests that the competition then becomes much more about marketing ex…”
Paul Kedrosky Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 31:54 Why The AI Bubble Will Burst: The Most Logical Case — With Paul Kedrosky
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