compute

24 statements across 17 episodes · 10 bullish · 5 bearish · 13 people on the record · first statement May 9, 2024 by Jack Clark · across every show →

Everything said about compute, oldest first

May 9, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Clark: Compute represents the vast majority of frontier AI training costs
“It's mostly compute. Talent, talent matters and data matters. The vast majority of the expense here is on compute to train the models.”
Jack Clark May 9, 2024 ▶ 2:57 Anthropic's Co-Founder on AI Agents, General Intelligence, and Sentience — With Jack Clark
May 9, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Clark: Scaling RL compute will unlock major new AI capabilities
“Everyone is trying to figure out how they can spend more and more of their compute on reinforcement learning, because I think everyone has this intuition that the more RL you add, the more sophisticated you're going to be able to make these things, and a lot o…”
Jack Clark May 9, 2024 ▶ 22:39 Anthropic's Co-Founder on AI Agents, General Intelligence, and Sentience — With Jack Clark
May 15, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Compute will be less of an AI bottleneck than energy availability
“I think compute will be less of a bottleneck than energy.”
Dwarkesh Patel May 15, 2024 ▶ 18:16 AI Scaling, Alignment, and the Path to Superintelligence — With Dwarkesh Patel
May 22, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levie: More compute will inevitably fix current imperfections in AI technology
“Maybe it doesn't work perfectly right now, but it's like, there's nothing that is, is stopping it from working perfectly in a world of more compute, And just more breakthroughs on, on, on the on the models themselves, and that is kind of where we're at right n…”
Aaron Levie May 22, 2024 ▶ 30:24 Box CEO Aaron Levie — What Cheaper, Faster, and Smarter AI Gets Us
May 22, 2024 bullish
Insight
Levie: Companies will scale by adding compute instead of human headcount
“And the equation goes from, okay, I got to call the HR team. I've got to make sure we have budget. We have to go hire a lot of people to now it's like, well, do you want like a hundred leads or a thousand leads or 10,000 leads? Not, and that's not going to be …”
Aaron Levie May 22, 2024 ▶ 24:48 Box CEO Aaron Levie — What Cheaper, Faster, and Smarter AI Gets Us
Dec 11, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Wang: AI development is currently more bottlenecked by data than compute
“I honestly think right now at where we are in AI development today We are more bottlenecked by data than we are compute.”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 51:47 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Jun 18, 2025 bullish
Insight
Patel: Future Economies Will Be Denominated in Compute, Not Human Labor
“More importantly, I think the future economy, once we do have these AI workers will be denominated in compute, right? Cause if computer's labor, right now, if you just think about like GDP per capita, because the individual worker is such an important componen…”
Dwarkesh Patel Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 1:07:11 Dwarkesh Patel: AI Continuous Improvement, Intelligence Explosion, Memory, Frontier Lab Competition
Dec 18, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Altman: OpenAI Tripled Compute This Year and Plans to Triple It Again
“From a year ago to now, we probably about tripled our compute. We'll triple our compute again next year, hopefully again after that. Revenue grows even a little bit faster than that, but it does roughly track our compute fleet.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 36:02 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: OpenAI would double its revenue right now with double the compute
“We have never yet found a situation where we can't really well monetize all the compute we have. If we had, I think if we had, you know, double the compute, we'd be at double the revenue right now.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 36:23 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 22, 2025 negative
Opinion
Roy: OpenAI's compute allocation across projects demonstrates a lack of focus
“You can allocate your compute, and I think it actually kind of, like, exemplifies that lack of focus, because if you want to solve drug development and make that a big core part of the business, focus on that. If you want to focus on enterprise, focus on that.”
Ranjan Roy Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 26:14 OpenAI’s Potential, Google’s Speedy Model, Copilot Hits Turbulence
Apr 1, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman: OpenAI Lacks Enough Compute to Fund Its Top Priorities
“And when we look at the compute we have, we are not even gonna have enough compute to fund those two things.”
Greg Brockman Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 3:36 OpenAI President Greg Brockman: AI Self-Improvement, The Superapp Bet, Path To AGI, Scaling Compute
Apr 1, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman: Competitors Scrambled Too Late for Compute When None Remained Available
“I think that what we have seen is that for other players, that they kind of realized that probably late last year and started scrambling to see what compute is available, and there really wasn't any”
Greg Brockman Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 59:52 OpenAI President Greg Brockman: AI Self-Improvement, The Superapp Bet, Path To AGI, Scaling Compute
Apr 1, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: Top AI Models Will Face Compute-Driven Outages Within Six Months
“Six months from now, I think that everyone will feel it. And I think that we will all feel the pain of there's an awesome model. And there's just no availability because there's not enough compute.”
Greg Brockman Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 1:01:16 OpenAI President Greg Brockman: AI Self-Improvement, The Superapp Bet, Path To AGI, Scaling Compute
Apr 1, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: Everyone in AI Will Face Severe Compute Shortages This Year
“And I think that we will see even this year, how everyone who is participating is going to be compute strapped.”
Greg Brockman Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 59:39 OpenAI President Greg Brockman: AI Self-Improvement, The Superapp Bet, Path To AGI, Scaling Compute
Apr 6, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Kantrowitz: OpenAI's 'no side quests' rule was strictly about compute constraints
“I think a lazy argument that, that, yeah, a lazy argument that buying TBPN is a side quest, which it invariably is, but I think it misunderstands this no side quest directive, which was all about compute. You don't want to waste compute on SideQuest.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 18:36 OpenAI's TBPN Mistake, SpaceX’s $2 Trillion IPO?, Iran Disables Amazon Infrastructure
Apr 23, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Brockman: OpenAI resells compute at positive operating margins amid outsized demand
“We rent, build, buy, compute, and we resell it with some positive margin, and as long as it's, you know, positive operating margin, and as long as there's scalable demand for intelligence, which I think is true as long as there's problems to solve, like, no on…”
Greg Brockman Apr 23, 2026 ▶ 14:23 OpenAI President Greg Brockman on GPT-5.5 “Spud,” AI Model Moats, and Cybersecurity Risks
Apr 23, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: Massive infrastructure bets are still insufficient to prevent compute scarcity
“Still not enough. We're gonna feel the scarcity. We're gonna feel it. We're feeling it already. You can sense it right now on people who are trying to use these agents and just simply cannot, you know, hitting the rate limits. So we're working on behalf of our…”
Greg Brockman Apr 23, 2026 ▶ 25:03 OpenAI President Greg Brockman on GPT-5.5 “Spud,” AI Model Moats, and Cybersecurity Risks
May 15, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dolen: Rising compute costs could make humans cheaper than AI agents
“The number probably goes up if demand's going up, right? Just natural, basic macroeconomics. So if that happens, we're gonna find ourselves in a position where you might be saying, oh, I could replace That person with some level of agentics, but you know, it's…”
Dallas Dolen May 15, 2026 ▶ 16:28 PwC’s Dallas Dolen: AI Hardware’s Advantage, TokenMaxxing, Automation’s Impact
Jun 16, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivasa: Token spend will eventually be way north of compute spend
“And sooner or later, I expect the cost of money, what I'm going to spending on tokens is going to be way north of what I'm spending on compute someday.”
Partha Srinivasa Jun 16, 2026 ▶ 1:12:07 Is Unstructured Data The Key To Successful AI Deployments?
Jun 26, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: Every AI provider will sell out all their compute
“I do think there's a bit of an attractor state where just like from a business model perspective, every provider sells out all their compute. I think that is just like the world that we're heading towards, where there just is not going to be enough compute to …”
Greg Brockman Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 3:27:40 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
Jul 1, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: AI Compute Demand Will Outstrip Supply, Selling Out Every Provider
“I do think there's a bit of an attractor state where just like from a business model perspective, every provider sells out all their compute. Right. I think that is just like the world that we're heading towards, where there just is not going to be enough comp…”
Greg Brockman Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 25:14 OpenAI President Greg Brockman: Our Plan To Merge Chat And Agents
Aug 3, 2026
Assertion Supported
Beck: Compute consumes roughly 60% of data center power, cooling takes 40%
“Because when you think about a data center, the power consumption, it's roughly 60% of the power is being used to compute and 40% is being used to cool.”
Christophe Beck Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 18:14 How Much Water AI Data Centers Actually Use. And What Can Be Done About It. — With Christophe Beck
Aug 3, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Albergati: Tech Giants Can Resell Excess AI Compute Due to High Demand
“I mean, this is, like, getting used today. Like, there's high demand for it, so when you see people, like, make these bets on compute, like, Meta or SpaceX AI, and they're off on the timing, right, or maybe off Totally. If depending on your opinion, they can t…”
Reed Albergotti Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 16:10 Leopold Blows Up, OpenAI Drastically Cuts Prices, Microsoft’s Best Day
Aug 19, 2026
Insight
Bostrom: Current Compute Might Suffice For Superintelligence If Algorithmic Bottlenecks Clear
“Turns out there is like some big hobbling that we have unwittingly, like some, something we were doing wrong that just made these systems way less efficient than they could be. And when somebody figures out how to remove that, like maybe the current Compute is…”
Nick Bostrom Aug 19, 2026 ▶ 27:37 Nick Bostrom: Worries About AI Existential Risk Just Became More Concrete
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 300 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.