AI training compute scaling

1 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jun 18, 2025 by Dwarkesh Patel · across every show →

Everything said about AI training compute scaling, oldest first

Jun 18, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Patel: 4x annual compute scaling cannot continue beyond 2028
“If you look at things like how much energy is there in the country, how much how many chips can TSMC produce and what fraction of them are already being used by AI. Even if you look at like raw GDP, like how much money does the world have? How much wealth does…”
Dwarkesh Patel Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 12:27 Dwarkesh Patel: AI Continuous Improvement, Intelligence Explosion, Memory, Frontier Lab Competition
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