AI companies

24 statements across 18 episodes · 9 bullish · 10 bearish · 14 people on the record · first statement Dec 4, 2023 by Deepa Sitaraman · across every show →

Everything said about AI companies, oldest first

Dec 4, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sitaraman: Effective Altruism will retain strong influence in AI hiring and policy
“So you're probably going to hire a bunch of EA people and you're going to have to make them happy because they could leave at any time. Right there. There's huge competition for people who actually build these systems. So there's that, but then, you know, so t…”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 34:29 Silicon Valley's Effective Altruist vs. Accelerationist Religious War
Jul 3, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessig: Adopting 'Right to Warn' will give AI labs a talent advantage
“If a company were to embrace the right to warn the way we've discussed it there would be a lot of people like William or others who would say, that's the kind of company I want to work for. And so that company would achieve an advantage of talent that might, y…”
Lawrence "Larry" Lessig Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 43:54 What The Ex-OpenAI Safety Employees Are Worried About
Mar 14, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Albergotti: Disrupting software development alone justifies massive investments into AI companies
“If even just software development gets totally disrupted, if that's the only thing that comes out of this, which seems like pretty likely at this point, like that's enough for, you know, for these companies to make a ton of money. It's still like a good invest…”
Reed Albergotti Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 35:49 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hendrycks: AI labs will break voluntary commitments when facing commercial competition
“I think voluntary commitments from AI companies are also a distraction because the companies will, you should expect most of them by default to just break those sorts of commitments if they end up going up against economic competitiveness.”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 1:09:18 AI's Rising Risks: Hacking, Virology, Loss of Control — With Dan Hendrycks
Jun 11, 2025 negative
Opinion
Siegler: AI assistants dredging up historical user data could backfire
“I wouldn't be shocked if that sort of backfires against these companies in some way. Like, I'm not really sure that people want to use this new technology to sort of dredge up The past and have all of that historical context.”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 20:12 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 18, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Patel: AI labs will keep spending exponentially despite diminishing returns
“Like I do think companies will continue to pour exponentially more computing to train these systems and they'll continue to do it over the next many years, because even if there's diminishing returns, the value of intelligence is so high that it's still worth …”
Dwarkesh Patel Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 11:43 Dwarkesh Patel: AI Continuous Improvement, Intelligence Explosion, Memory, Frontier Lab Competition
Aug 13, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Prince: Crawler paywalls will create a dynamic marketplace for content
“And so that's the sort of thing where I think a marketplace over time can develop where original valuable content will get compensated and there will be a clearing price in the market once we have that scarcity that's created by that wall.”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 39:14 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Prince: AI web scrapers brought down entire publisher websites with traffic
“Starting really 18 months ago is that those companies said, hey, I know we hired you in order to stop the Chinese hackers, but we have this new threat that's there... And it was only when we actually saw the data and we saw how AI companies were taking content…”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 30:34 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Prince: 80% of AI companies are Cloudflare customers
“80% of the AI companies are our customers of ours, and so, so we project them as well.”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 34:25 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Prince: Strangling creator incentives will ultimately hurt AI companies
“In order for AI to get better, you have to have original content. People have to be going out and creating that. And right now we're strangling off all of the incentives for that content creation, which not only hurts content creators, it will ultimately hurt …”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 15:41 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Sep 22, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI companies cannot serve companion, thought partner, and agent concurrently
“And that to me is, I think it's a problem, and that's why I think these companies are gonna have to have clarity over which one they're going for. You cannot really do all three. Maybe you can do it in the same product, but you definitely need a switcher.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 10:22 Revealed: OpenAI Tells Us ChatGPT's Major Use Cases
Oct 13, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI Company Valuation Multiples Will Deflate Fast Upon Slowdown
“I think as long as the year have good times, then there'll be massive multiples that will be attached to AI companies. But second, we see a sign of a slowdown. I think that will deflate exceptionally fast.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 42:45 AGI or Bust, OpenAI’s $1 Trillion Gamble, Apple’s Next CEO?
Oct 27, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: AI companies won't stop scraping until lawsuits impose exorbitant costs
“I think until, yeah, There's like an exorbitant cost to any of these companies. Nothing's gonna happen.”
Ranjan Roy Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 59:54 OpenAI’s Risky Browser Bet, Amazon’s Mass Automation Plan, Clippy’s Back
Oct 30, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI Models Will Lack Reliable Information Beyond 2025 Without Creator Compensation
“The information they're pulling in, it is literally going to stop showing up on the internet. And it's like chat TPT will give you good advice for a 20, 25 and earlier, but nothing beyond that.”
Tony Stubblebine Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 39:55 Medium CEO Tony Stubblebine: Here's How Writing Evolves In The AI Era
Oct 30, 2025
Disclosure
Medium Plans to Pass 100% of AI Licensing Revenue to Creators
“If we get any money out of these AI companies, we want to give all of it back to the creators. Like so far, every other platform has been doing side deals and then just pocketing the money.”
Tony Stubblebine Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 37:59 Medium CEO Tony Stubblebine: Here's How Writing Evolves In The AI Era
Oct 30, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Medium Threatens to Poison AI Training Data If Companies Refuse to Pay
“I think that if we can't find some fair exchange of value, if we can't get something going, if they insist on continuing to train and work around our blocks and, you know, continuing to avoid even paying for what they're training on. I think we're just like …”
Tony Stubblebine Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 17:42 Medium CEO Tony Stubblebine: Here's How Writing Evolves In The AI Era
Nov 10, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI Companies Seeking Government Funding Is a Couple Years Away
“Inevitably, I mean, you, there's only a certain number of sources that you can go to for money and then you eventually look for governments. I just don't think we're at that. I think that stage is still a couple years away. I don't think we're there yet.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 33:31 OpenAI Bailout?, Elon’s $1 Trillion Pay Deal, Amazon Sues Perplexity
Nov 17, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Luria: AI companies park diesel trucks behind the meter to power chips
“And then what these companies are doing is putting power, what they call behind the meter, which is to say generators and turbines and diesel trucks, because it's so lucrative that it's worth it for them to park 10 diesel trucks and run them so they can power …”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 56:55 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Feb 16, 2026 bearish
Insight
Adler: Self-Enforced AI Safety Pledges Inevitably Get Watered Down for Launches
“At a high level, the big AI companies have made these safety pledges of how they will treat their systems as they get more and more capable, but they are largely self-enforced. And so there's a lot of temptation to water down your commitments and go ahead with…”
Steven Adler Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 33:11 Is Something Big Happening?, AI Safety Apocalypse, Anthropic Raises $30 Billion
Feb 16, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Adler: AI Lab Engineers Now Supervise Agents Rather Than Write Code
“The job of an engineer at one of these companies now is much more supervising these agents as opposed to writing the code yourself.”
Steven Adler Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 6:53 Is Something Big Happening?, AI Safety Apocalypse, Anthropic Raises $30 Billion
Apr 29, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cuban: AI labs winning students and teachers will build durable loyalty
“I think by getting students and teachers excited about the capabilities and features of the AI that you're offering, creates a foundation that, that they'll, they'll want to be comfortable with, and they'll stick with those tools for a long, long time.”
Mark Cuban Apr 29, 2026 ▶ 37:05 Mark Cuban: AI Hype vs. Reality, OpenAI's Wasting $1 Trillion, Lebron vs. Jordan
May 25, 2026 neutral
Insight
Roy: AI economics are more akin to industrials than software
“The economics of a general or an AI company are just fundamentally different than software. That like, it's more akin to industrial companies or something, because you're paying for The compute costs. So the resources in can scale linearly or somewhat linearly…”
Ranjan Roy May 25, 2026 ▶ 6:54 Is OpenAI Ready To IPO?, The Datacenters in Space Myth, The Kids Boo AI
Jun 17, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
AI Vendor Subscription Revenue Is Growing Faster Than Token Spend
“And then notably, even for the AI companies, they're actually growing on subscription spend faster than they're growing on token spend.”
Ara Kharazian Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 42:50 AI Fact or Fiction: The Fable Ban, Tokenmaxxing, Saaspocolypse — With Ara Kharazian
Jun 26, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI companies will build user profiles and use them for ads
“So will AI's build an amazing sort of profile of you based off of all the personal data and then use that for ads? Most certainly.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 1:45:51 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
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