advertising

5 statements across 5 episodes · 3 bullish · 1 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Oct 23, 2024 by Stephanie Link · across every show →

Everything said about advertising, oldest first

Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Link: AWS and advertising will reach 31% of Amazon's revenue by 2030
“AWS Growing 19, 20% with 33% margins. You have advertising growing up low double digits with 50% margins, and collectively those two businesses are, right now, they are about 24% of total revenue. That's gonna get to 31% by the end of this decade”
Stephanie Link Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 43:54 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Aug 4, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: OpenAI will eventually adopt advertising, but in a new format
“I do think that they will eventually go down that path, but I also chalk that up to the fact that, again, I think that if they go down that path and if it's meaningful to them, it will look different than what sort of search advertising has historically looked…”
M.G. Siegler Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 39:25 Mark Zuckerberg’s Personal Superintelligence, Layoffs & Payoffs, Writing With AI — With M.G. Siegler
Mar 9, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Amazon makes all its retail profit from advertising
“Where are they making most of their profit on the retail side? Or shall I say all their profit on the retail side? It's advertising. And that goes away. If you, even if you're able to do this well, if one click fulfillment, that's the least Profitable part of …”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 14:37 AI Revenue Explodes, Dario’s Memo, McDonalds’ CEO’s Baby Burger Bite
May 27, 2026 positive
Insight
Costolo: Advertising is undefeated because ARPU far exceeds premium subscriptions
“Advertising is undefeated as a business model. What you end up finding is that the average revenue per user is just much, much higher than you can get from a premium subscription.”
Dick Costolo May 27, 2026 ▶ 49:06 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
Jun 26, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI companies will build user profiles and use them for ads
“So will AI's build an amazing sort of profile of you based off of all the personal data and then use that for ads? Most certainly.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 1:45:51 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
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